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Tartu JK Welco vs Raplamaa

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2022
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Tartu JK Welco host Raplamaa in the Esiliiga B 2022. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Tartu JK Welco have averaged 3.25 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Raplamaa's 0 scored and 0 conceded. Head-to-head, Tartu JK Welco have won 4 to Raplamaa's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 13, 2022, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 2.23 vs 1.31, favoring Tartu JK Welco. Tartu JK Welco in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tartu JK Welco
6%
Draws
4%
Raplamaa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tartu JK Welco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tartu JK Welco has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Raplamaa.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Tartu JK Welco.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Esiliiga B 2022 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Tartu JK Welco Clean Sheet 18%
Raplamaa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tartu JK Welco Raplamaa
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 21 2
Draws 6 0
Losses 9 28
Goals Scored 3.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2022 Esiliiga B
Raplamaa vs Tartu JK Welco
0:3
Aug 6, 2022 Esiliiga B
Tartu JK Welco vs Raplamaa
3:0
May 22, 2022 Esiliiga B
Tartu JK Welco vs Raplamaa
1:0
Mar 12, 2022 Esiliiga B
Raplamaa vs Tartu JK Welco
2:2
Jun 21, 2017 Estonian Cup
Raplamaa vs Tartu JK Welco
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tartu JK Welco 85 / 100
Raplamaa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tartu JK Welco Raplamaa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tartu JK Welco scored in 83% of their last 36 games.

Raplamaa let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Tartu JK Welco went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Raplamaa lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tartu JK Welco VS -
3.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Tallinn362493117:3881
2Tabasalu362547120:5079
3Tallinna Kalev U2136208888:4868
4Tartu JK Welco361710968:4761
5Tammeka Tartu II361681270:5956
6Legion U21361341960:8643
7Tartu Kalev361171855:8140
8Laanemaa Haapsalu361071949:8437
9Kalju U21361042254:10034
10Raplamaa36233133:1219