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Tartu JK Welco vs Viimsi JK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Holm Jalgpallipark, Tartu
Tartu JK Welco Logo

Tartu JK Welco

1 - 3
FT
Viimsi JK Logo

Viimsi JK

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Ekharts D.
Assist: Krimm N.
16' Event
Lehtmets R.
Assist: Ekharts D.
37'
Jalle M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Viimsi JK in this Esiliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Viimsi JK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Tartu JK Welco
20%
Draws
28%
Viimsi JK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tartu JK Welco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tartu JK Welco lately — more wins on the board than Viimsi JK.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Tartu JK Welco taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Tartu JK Welco Clean Sheet 12%
Viimsi JK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tartu JK Welco Viimsi JK
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 19 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 3.03 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Esiliiga
Viimsi JK vs Tartu JK Welco
0:2
Aug 29, 2026 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Viimsi JK
1:3
Jul 2, 2026 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Viimsi JK
2:2
Apr 23, 2026 Esiliiga
Viimsi JK vs Tartu JK Welco
2:0
Oct 3, 2025 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Viimsi JK
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tartu JK Welco Compare

Top Goalscorer Mugra M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Viimsi JK Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekharts D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lehtmets R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tartu JK Welco 83 / 100
Viimsi JK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tartu JK Welco Viimsi JK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tartu JK Welco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tartu JK Welco scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Tartu JK Welco has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Viimsi JK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tartu JK Welco VS Viimsi JK
2.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tartu JK Welco

(Home)
09 Oct
Tartu JK Welco
4 : 0
Elva
17 Sept
Viimsi JK
0 : 2
Tartu JK Welco
14 Sept
Tartu JK Welco
3 : 0
Kalju U21
10 Sept
Levadia U21
0 : 0
Tartu JK Welco
05 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1
Tartu JK Welco
Page 1 of 6

Viimsi JK

(Away)
15 Oct
Viimsi JK
:
Maardu Linnameeskond
10 Oct
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 2
Viimsi JK
02 Oct
Tammeka Tartu
4 : 1
Viimsi JK
17 Sept
Viimsi JK
0 : 2
Tartu JK Welco
13 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 0
Viimsi JK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 32 21 5 6 85:39 68
2 Viimsi JK 32 17 5 10 58:32 56
3 Flora Tallinn U21 32 15 6 11 73:55 51
4 Elva 32 15 6 11 47:48 51
5 Levadia U21 31 15 2 14 61:55 47
6 Tallinna Kalev 31 11 7 13 53:57 40
7 Nomme Utd U21 32 11 6 15 50:63 39
8 FC Tallinn 31 9 8 14 41:64 35
9 Kalju U21 31 7 4 20 38:79 25
10 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 12 5 19 45:59 41
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)