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Tartu Kalev vs Johvi Phoenix - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tartu Kalev host Johvi Phoenix in the Esiliiga B. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Johvi Phoenix have shipped 2.28 goals a game lately, while Tartu Kalev have conceded 2.25 and scored 2.54. Past meetings favor Johvi Phoenix slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.88) point toward Johvi Phoenix. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Tartu Kalev
15%
Draws
57%
Johvi Phoenix
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Johvi Phoenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Johvi Phoenix come out ahead of Tartu Kalev on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tartu Kalev's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Johvi Phoenix have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Tartu Kalev Clean Sheet 10%
Johvi Phoenix Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tartu Kalev Johvi Phoenix
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 13 19
Draws 2 3
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 2.54 2.66
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Johvi Phoenix
0:3
Jul 4, 2026 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Tartu Kalev
3:2
May 1, 2026 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Tartu Kalev
4:3
Sep 27, 2025 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Tartu Kalev
3:1
Sep 7, 2025 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Tartu Kalev
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tartu Kalev 40 / 100
Johvi Phoenix 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tartu Kalev Johvi Phoenix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tartu Kalev's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Johvi Phoenix's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Tartu Kalev has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tartu Kalev VS Johvi Phoenix
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tartu Kalev

(Home)
26 Sept
Tulevik
6 : 1
Tartu Kalev
13 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
0 : 4
Tartu Kalev
10 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Tartu Kalev
06 Sept
Tartu Kalev
0 : 1
Narva U21
29 Aug
Tartu Kalev
0 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
Page 1 of 6

Johvi Phoenix

(Away)
19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2
Tabasalu
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
10 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
06 Sept
Levadia U19
6 : 2
Johvi Phoenix
29 Aug
Tartu Kalev
0 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 32 20 2 10 80:52 62
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tulevik 32 15 5 12 83:65 50
5 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
6 Tartu Kalev 31 15 2 14 72:60 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 31 8 5 18 63:78 29
10 Legion 32 3 3 26 27:118 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)