Sport Picks
Tartu Kalev vs Johvi Phoenix - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
Tartu Kalev host Johvi Phoenix in the Esiliiga B. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Johvi Phoenix have shipped 2.28 goals a game lately, while Tartu Kalev have conceded 2.25 and scored 2.54. Past meetings favor Johvi Phoenix slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.88) point toward Johvi Phoenix. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Johvi Phoenix come out ahead of Tartu Kalev on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Tartu Kalev's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Johvi Phoenix have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tartu Kalev | Johvi Phoenix |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 32 |
| Wins | 13 | 19 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.54 | 2.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 2.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tartu Kalev's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Johvi Phoenix's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 32 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.
Tartu Kalev has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Tartu Kalev
(Home)Johvi Phoenix
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Narva U21 | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 71:36 | 63 |
| 2 | Levadia U19 | 32 | 20 | 2 | 10 | 80:52 | 62 |
| 3 | Johvi Phoenix | 30 | 17 | 3 | 10 | 71:68 | 54 |
| 4 | Tulevik | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 83:65 | 50 |
| 5 | Tammeka Tartu U21 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 74:60 | 49 |
| 6 | Tartu Kalev | 31 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 72:60 | 47 |
| 7 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 95:62 | 46 |
| 8 | Tabasalu | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 44:81 | 33 |
| 9 | Tallinna Kalev U21 | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 63:78 | 29 |
| 10 | Legion | 32 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 27:118 | 12 |