Sport Picks

Estonia

Estonian Cup Ulenurme stadium, Ulenurme

Tartu Kalev

Wed, Jun 10, 2026

4 - 3

04:00 PM

Paide Linnameeskond III

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-3, with Tartu Kalev advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Tartu Kalev

Draws

Paide Linnameeskond III

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tartu Kalev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Tartu Kalev carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Tartu Kalev a 90% chance of winning this.
Tartu Kalev have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Tartu Kalev, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 89%

Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 37%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Tartu Kalev Clean Sheet 10%

Paide Linnameeskond III Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tartu Kalev	Paide Linnameeskond III
Matches Played	29	8
Wins	14	3
Draws	2	0
Losses	13	5
Goals Scored	1.63	3
Goals Conceded	1.88	4
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Estonian Cup

Tartu Kalev vs Paide Linnameeskond III

4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tartu Kalev 83 / 100

Paide Linnameeskond III 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tartu Kalev Paide Linnameeskond III

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tartu Kalev's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Paide Linnameeskond III's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 7 matches.

Recent resilience: Tartu Kalev stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tartu Kalev VS Paide Linnameeskond III

1.63 Goals Scored 3

1.88 Goals Conceded 4

75% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 100%

63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Tartu Kalev

(Home)

23 Jul

Tartu Kalev

7 : 0

Kuusalu Kalev

19 Jul

Levadia U19

0 : 5

Tartu Kalev

12 Jul

Tartu Kalev

10 : 2

Legion

04 Jul

Johvi Phoenix

3 : 2

Tartu Kalev

21 Jun

Tabasalu

3 : 1

Tartu Kalev

Page 1 of 6

Paide Linnameeskond III

(Away)

10 Jun

Tartu Kalev

4 : 3

Paide Linnameeskond III

22 Jun

Viimsi JK

4 : 0

Paide Linnameeskond III

10 Aug

Paide Linnameeskond III

4 : 5

Johvi Phoenix

19 Jun

Kohvile

0 : 5

Paide Linnameeskond III

16 Dec

Flora

Paide Linnameeskond III

Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Lahte United1

Tabasalu Ulasabat3

TBD-

Parnu JK Vaprus-

Johvi Phoenix4

Elva III2

TBD-

FC Hell Hunt-

Saue JK Laagri6

Viimsi Lovid0

TBD-

Harju JK Laagri U21-

EstHam United-

TBD-

Kose8

Kummik0

JK Poseidon-

TBD-

Helm30

Deliirium0

Tallinna Wolves0

Tabasalu10

TBD-

Tamper-

Kristiine-

TBD-

Jogeva Wolves-

Tammeka Tartu-

TBD-

Zealot Sporting-

Kohvile-

TBD-

Rumori Calcio-

Arukula Vigri-

TBD-

Raasiku Joker-

Viimsi JK-

TBD-

Nomme Utd U19-

Rumori Calcio II-

TBD-

Tartu JK Welco-

TalTech JK-

TBD-

Keila JK-

Harju JK Laagri-

TBD-

Rae Spordikool-

Tartu Kalev4

Paide Linnameeskond III3

TBD-

Kuusalu Kalev-

Tammeka Tartu U19-

TBD-

Tallinna Kalev-

Tartu Helios-

TBD-

Soccernet-

JK Arsenal0

Tallinna Kalev U213

Rakvere FC Freedom3

Kena JK2

Kuressaare-

TBD-

Tartu JK Welco 2-

Nomme Utd-

TBD-

Raplamaa-

Narva10

Vana Hea Puur0

TBD-

Flora Tallinn U21-

Flora U19-

TBD-

Pohja-Tallinna-

Hiiumaa-

TBD-

Tulevik-

Saku Sporting-

TBD-

Legion-

Marjamaa Kompanii-

TBD-

Generation Tallinn-

TransferWise-

TBD-

Olympic Tallinn-

FC Tallinn-

TBD-

Tallinna FC Zapoos-

Laanemaa Haapsalu-

TBD-

Jarva-Jaani0

Elva4

TBD-

1/32-finals

Tabasalu Ulasabat1

Parnu JK Vaprus4

Johvi Phoenix8

FC Hell Hunt1

Saue JK Laagri-

Harju JK Laagri U21-

EstHam United1

Kose5

JK Poseidon3

Helm2

Tabasalu0

Tamper2

Kristiine8

Jogeva Wolves3

Tammeka Tartu19

Zealot Sporting0

Kohvile1

Rumori Calcio4

Arukula Vigri0

Raasiku Joker1

Viimsi JK4

Nomme Utd U190

Rumori Calcio II5

Tartu JK Welco1

TalTech JK0

Keila JK6

Harju JK Laagri8

Rae Spordikool0

Tartu Kalev7

Kuusalu Kalev0

Tammeka Tartu U190

Tallinna Kalev8

Tartu Helios-

Soccernet-

Tallinna Kalev U214

Rakvere FC Freedom2

Kuressaare5

Tartu JK Welco 21

Nomme Utd12

Raplamaa0

Narva1

Flora Tallinn U210

Flora U19-

Pohja-Tallinna-

Hiiumaa4

Tulevik1

Saku Sporting2

Legion1

Marjamaa Kompanii8

Generation Tallinn4

TransferWise3

Olympic Tallinn6

FC Tallinn-

Tallinna FC Zapoos-

Laanemaa Haapsalu0

Elva6

TBD-

1/16-finals

TBD-

1/8-finals

TBD-

Quarter-finals

TBD-

Semi-finals

TBD-

Final

TBD-