Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tartu Kalev vs Paide Linnameeskond U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2025 Ulenurme stadium, Ulenurme
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Kohv K. In: Samulin R.
Out: Kohv K.
47' Event
Mihhalevski R.
50'
Toomsalu A.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B 2025 game between Tartu Kalev and Paide Linnameeskond U21 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tartu Kalev.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Tartu Kalev
22%
Draws
18%
Paide Linnameeskond U21
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Tartu Kalev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Tartu Kalev carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tartu Kalev are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tartu Kalev have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Tartu Kalev Clean Sheet 18%
Paide Linnameeskond U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tartu Kalev Paide Linnameeskond U21
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2025 Esiliiga B
Paide Linnameeskond U21 vs Tartu Kalev
1:1
Jul 19, 2025 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Paide Linnameeskond U21
1:0
Jun 1, 2025 Esiliiga B
Paide Linnameeskond U21 vs Tartu Kalev
2:3
Apr 13, 2025 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Paide Linnameeskond U21
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tartu Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Mihhalevski R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Paide Linnameeskond U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tartu Kalev 58 / 100
Paide Linnameeskond U21 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tartu Kalev Paide Linnameeskond U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tartu Kalev found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (35 games).

Paide Linnameeskond U21 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Tartu Kalev went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tartu Kalev VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tartu Kalev

(Home)
19 Jul
Levadia U19
0 : 5
Tartu Kalev
12 Jul
Tartu Kalev
10 : 2
Legion
04 Jul
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2
Tartu Kalev
21 Jun
Tabasalu
3 : 1
Tartu Kalev
18 Jun
Narva U21
3 : 2
Tartu Kalev
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Paide Linnameeskond U21

(Away)
21 Feb
Paide Linnameeskond U21
0 : 1
Valmiera
22 Nov
Paide Linnameeskond U21
3 : 2
Tulevik
15 Nov
Tulevik
5 : 1
Paide Linnameeskond U21
09 Nov
Paide Linnameeskond U21
2 : 0
Johvi Phoenix
01 Nov
Laanemaa Haapsalu
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond U21
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maardu Linnameeskond362853116:3989
2Nomme Utd U21362331093:5372
3Johvi Phoenix362151095:6168
4Narva U21362131287:5366
5Tartu Kalev361941381:5361
6Tabasalu361381560:6747
7Legion361351866:9444
8Paide Linnameeskond U21361181765:7141
9Kuressaare U2136612940:10519
10Laanemaa Haapsalu36323133:14011
Promotion - Esiliiga (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2025 (Relegation)