Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tartu Kalev vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Korre A.
57' Event
Villems M.
65' Event
Orm R.

AI Match Summary

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Parnu JK Vaprus U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tartu Kalev
6%
Draws
90%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tartu Kalev lately — more wins on the board than Parnu JK Vaprus U21.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Parnu JK Vaprus U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
Tartu Kalev Clean Sheet 10%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tartu Kalev Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 12 10
Draws 3 3
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 2.75 3.5
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
1:2
Mar 8, 2026 Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tartu Kalev
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tartu Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Villems M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Korre A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Orm R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tartu Kalev 10 / 100
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tartu Kalev Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tartu Kalev found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (30 games).

Parnu JK Vaprus U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 95% of 21 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Tartu Kalev remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tartu Kalev VS Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2.75 Goals Scored 3.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tammeka Tartu U2118112552:3635
2Tulevik19111755:3934
3Narva U2117102543:2632
4Parnu JK Vaprus U2118102654:3832
5Johvi Phoenix18101745:4531
6Levadia U191892744:3329
7Tabasalu19901033:5027
8Tartu Kalev18711039:4022
9Tallinna Kalev U2118421237:4214
10Legion17211414:677