Sport Picks
Tartu Kalev vs Tallinna Kalev U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Estonia
Esiliiga B 
Match Events
4'
4'
86'
86'
Kruusla G.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tartu Kalev
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Tartu Kalev have won more games recently than Tallinna Kalev U21.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Tallinna Kalev U21 taking it.
- Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Tartu Kalev Clean Sheet 10%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tartu Kalev | Tallinna Kalev U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.45 | 2.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.24 | 2.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 25, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Tallinna Kalev U21
1:1
Jun 1, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Tartu Kalev
7:2
Apr 24, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Tallinna Kalev U21
1:3
Sep 23, 2023 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Tartu Kalev
0:0
Jul 3, 2023 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Tallinna Kalev U21
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tartu Kalev Compare
Top Goalscorer Kruusla G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Tallinna Kalev U21 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tartu Kalev 26 / 100
Tallinna Kalev U21 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tartu Kalev Tallinna Kalev U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tallinna Kalev U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tartu Kalev scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Tallinna Kalev U21 let in goals in 96% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Tallinna Kalev U21 lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tartu Kalev VS Tallinna Kalev U21
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Tartu Kalev
(Home) 10 Oct
Tartu Kalev
0 : 2 Levadia U19
26 Sept
Tulevik
6 : 1 Tartu Kalev
13 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
0 : 4 Tartu Kalev
10 Sept
Legion
1 : 2 Tartu Kalev
06 Sept
Tartu Kalev
0 : 1 Narva U21
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Tartu Kalev
0 : 2 Levadia U19
06 Sept
Tartu Kalev
0 : 1 Narva U21
29 Aug
Tartu Kalev
0 : 3 Johvi Phoenix
25 Aug
Tartu Kalev
1 : 1 Tallinna Kalev U21
20 Aug
Tartu Kalev
2 : 1 Tammeka Tartu U21
Page 1 of 4
Tallinna Kalev U21
(Away) 03 Oct
Tulevik
1 : 3 Tallinna Kalev U21
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2 Narva U21
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3 Tallinna Kalev U21
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1 Tabasalu
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0 Tallinna Kalev U21
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Tulevik
1 : 3 Tallinna Kalev U21
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3 Tallinna Kalev U21
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0 Tallinna Kalev U21
25 Aug
Tartu Kalev
1 : 1 Tallinna Kalev U21
16 Aug
Tabasalu
1 : 1 Tallinna Kalev U21
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Narva U21 | 31 | 21 | 3 | 7 | 72:36 | 66 |
| 2 | Levadia U19 | 32 | 20 | 2 | 10 | 80:52 | 62 |
| 3 | Johvi Phoenix | 31 | 17 | 3 | 11 | 71:69 | 54 |
| 4 | Tammeka Tartu U21 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 76:61 | 52 |
| 5 | Tulevik | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 83:65 | 50 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 96:63 | 47 |
| 7 | Tartu Kalev | 31 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 72:60 | 47 |
| 8 | Tabasalu | 31 | 10 | 3 | 18 | 45:83 | 33 |
| 9 | Tallinna Kalev U21 | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 64:79 | 30 |
| 10 | Legion | 32 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 27:118 | 12 |
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)
