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Tartu Kalev vs Tammeka Tartu U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
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Match Events

8' Event
Kruusla G.
36' Event
Kulm R.
60' Event
Muur R.

AI Match Summary

Tartu Kalev in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tartu Kalev.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Tartu Kalev
15%
Draws
28%
Tammeka Tartu U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tartu Kalev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Tartu Kalev at 2.45 per game, Tammeka Tartu U21 at 2.43.
  • Win probability leans Tartu Kalev's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Tartu Kalev Clean Sheet 12%
Tammeka Tartu U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tartu Kalev Tammeka Tartu U21
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 2 4
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 2.45 2.43
Goals Conceded 2.24 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Tammeka Tartu U21
2:1
May 16, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Tammeka Tartu U21
2:2
Apr 19, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tammeka Tartu U21 vs Tartu Kalev
0:1
Sep 28, 2024 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Tammeka Tartu U21
1:4
Jul 20, 2024 Esiliiga B
Tammeka Tartu U21 vs Tartu Kalev
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tartu Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Kruusla G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kulm R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Tammeka Tartu U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Muur R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tartu Kalev 35 / 100
Tammeka Tartu U21 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tartu Kalev Tammeka Tartu U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tartu Kalev's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Tammeka Tartu U21 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Tammeka Tartu U21's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tartu Kalev VS Tammeka Tartu U21
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tartu Kalev

(Home)
10 Oct
Tartu Kalev
0 : 2
Levadia U19
26 Sept
Tulevik
6 : 1
Tartu Kalev
13 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
0 : 4
Tartu Kalev
10 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Tartu Kalev
06 Sept
Tartu Kalev
0 : 1
Narva U21
Page 1 of 6

Tammeka Tartu U21

(Away)
21 Sept
Levadia U19
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
15 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
10 Sept
Tammeka Tartu U21
3 : 2
Tulevik
05 Sept
Tabasalu
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu U21
31 Aug
Tammeka Tartu U21
2 : 5
Levadia U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 32 20 2 10 80:52 62
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tulevik 32 15 5 12 83:65 50
5 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
6 Tartu Kalev 31 15 2 14 72:60 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 31 8 5 18 63:78 29
10 Legion 32 3 3 26 27:118 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)