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Tartu Kalev vs Tammeka Tartu U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Thu, Aug 20, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tartu Kalev host Tammeka Tartu U21 in the Esiliiga B. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Tammeka Tartu U21 have shipped 1.75 goals a game lately, while Tartu Kalev have conceded 2.88 and scored 2.75. Head-to-head, Tartu Kalev have won 2 to Tammeka Tartu U21's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 2.50) point toward Tartu Kalev. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tartu Kalev
6%
Draws
4%
Tammeka Tartu U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tartu Kalev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Tartu Kalev at 2.75 per game, Tammeka Tartu U21 at 2.13.
  • Win probability leans Tartu Kalev's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Tartu Kalev Clean Sheet 10%
Tammeka Tartu U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tartu Kalev Tammeka Tartu U21
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 14
Draws 3 4
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 2.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Tammeka Tartu U21
2:2
Apr 19, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tammeka Tartu U21 vs Tartu Kalev
0:1
Sep 28, 2024 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Tammeka Tartu U21
1:4
Jul 20, 2024 Esiliiga B
Tammeka Tartu U21 vs Tartu Kalev
7:1
Jun 3, 2024 Esiliiga B
Tammeka Tartu U21 vs Tartu Kalev
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tartu Kalev 83 / 100
Tammeka Tartu U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tartu Kalev Tammeka Tartu U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tartu Kalev's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Tammeka Tartu U21 has conceded goals in 94% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Tartu Kalev stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tartu Kalev VS Tammeka Tartu U21
2.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tartu Kalev

(Home)
23 Jul
Tartu Kalev
7 : 0
Kuusalu Kalev
19 Jul
Levadia U19
0 : 5
Tartu Kalev
12 Jul
Tartu Kalev
10 : 2
Legion
04 Jul
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2
Tartu Kalev
21 Jun
Tabasalu
3 : 1
Tartu Kalev
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Tammeka Tartu U21

(Away)
20 Jul
Tammeka Tartu U21
5 : 4
Tallinna Kalev U21
12 Jul
Tammeka Tartu U21
2 : 1
Narva U21
04 Jul
Levadia U19
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu U21
22 Jun
Tulevik
2 : 2
Tammeka Tartu U21
18 Jun
Tammeka Tartu U21
1 : 3
Tabasalu
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tammeka Tartu U2120132559:4141
2Narva U2119112648:2935
3Tulevik19111755:3934
4Johvi Phoenix19111749:4734
5Parnu JK Vaprus U2120102857:4632
6Levadia U1920102848:3932
7Tartu Kalev20911054:4228
8Tabasalu20901133:5227
9Tallinna Kalev U2120421442:5114
10Legion19311518:7710
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)