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Taruma vs Unidos do Alvorada Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Fonseca A.
88'
Duarte A.

AI Match Summary

The Amazonense 2 2025 game between Taruma and Unidos do Alvorada finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Taruma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Taruma
15%
Draws
0%
Unidos do Alvorada
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Taruma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Taruma haven't matched Unidos do Alvorada's recent run of results.
  • Taruma are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Amazonense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Taruma Clean Sheet 12%
Unidos do Alvorada Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taruma Unidos do Alvorada
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 13
Draws 4 3
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.43 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.77 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2025 Amazonense 2
Taruma vs Unidos do Alvorada
1:0
Aug 14, 2022 Amazonense 2
Unidos do Alvorada vs Taruma
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taruma Compare

Top Goalscorer Fonseca A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Unidos do Alvorada Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taruma 83 / 100
Unidos do Alvorada 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taruma Unidos do Alvorada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taruma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unidos do Alvorada has conceded goals in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Away concern: Unidos do Alvorada has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Taruma found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Taruma VS Unidos do Alvorada
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Taruma

(Home)
29 Jun
Operario Esporte Clube
5 : 0
Taruma
23 Jun
Taruma
1 : 1
Manicore
08 Jun
RB do Norte
0 : 3
Taruma
01 Jun
Taruma
1 : 0
Unidos do Alvorada
25 May
Penarol
2 : 0
Taruma
Page 1 of 6

Unidos do Alvorada

(Away)
30 Aug
Cliper
6 : 1
Unidos do Alvorada
20 Aug
Unidos do Alvorada
2 : 4
Operario Esporte Clube
15 Aug
RB do Norte
6 : 1
Unidos do Alvorada
13 Aug
Fast Clube
4 : 1
Unidos do Alvorada
06 Aug
Unidos do Alvorada
1 : 6
Manicore
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol 4 3 1 0 6:1 10
2 Taruma 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Unidos do Alvorada 4 2 0 2 3:3 6
4 Manicore 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
5 RB do Norte 4 0 0 4 1:8 0
Promotion - Amazonense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Operario Esporte Clube 4 3 1 0 10:5 10
2 Itacoatiara 4 2 2 0 6:1 8
3 Sul America 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
4 Fast Clube 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
5 Cliper 4 0 1 3 4:9 1
Promotion - Amazonense 2 2025 (Play Offs)