Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tarup-Paarup vs Roskilde

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Justinussen F.
65' Event
Bakiz Y.
89' Event
Dhaflaoui S.

AI Match Summary

Roskilde in this Landspokal Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Tarup-Paarup
30%
Draws
64%
Roskilde
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Roskilde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Roskilde have won more games recently than Tarup-Paarup.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Roskilde taking it.
  • Roskilde arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Roskilde, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Tarup-Paarup Clean Sheet 20%
Roskilde Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tarup-Paarup Roskilde
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 4 10
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 1.3 1.6
Goals Conceded 2 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2019 Betano Pokalen
Tarup-Paarup vs Roskilde
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tarup-Paarup Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Roskilde Compare

Top Goalscorer Justinussen F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bakiz Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tarup-Paarup 10 / 100
Roskilde 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tarup-Paarup Roskilde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roskilde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roskilde has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Tarup-Paarup scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Tarup-Paarup remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tarup-Paarup VS Roskilde
0 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tarup-Paarup

(Home)
05 Aug
Tarup-Paarup
0 : 3
Vejle
21 Feb
Tarup-Paarup
0 : 6
Naesby
06 Aug
Morud
3 : 2
Tarup-Paarup
30 Jul
Naesby
5 : 2
Tarup-Paarup
24 Feb
Tarup-Paarup
1 : 1
Naesby
Page 1 of 6

Roskilde

(Away)
13 Sept
Brabrand
1 : 1
Roskilde
09 Sept
BK Frem
1 : 2
Roskilde
05 Sept
Roskilde
1 : 0
VSK Aarhus
28 Aug
Nykobing
2 : 2
Roskilde
25 Aug
Saby
0 : 5
Roskilde
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Viby 3
Horn-Farvang IF 2
Vatanspor 1
Fuglebakken 3
FB 3
KFUMs BK 2
Birkerod 1
Vanlose 4
Roskilde 7
Nordfalster 1
Saedding/Guldager IF 1
Tarup-Paarup 6
Kolding IF 3
Dalum IF 0
TBD -
Randers FC -
Brondby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Middelfart 1
SfB-Oure 0
Lystrup 1
Skive 16
Hvidovre IF 2
Bronshoj 1
Ronne IK 0
B 1908 2
BK Viktoria 3
Hundested IK 1
TBD -
Sonderjyske -
Thisted FC 8
Skagen IK 0
Krarup/Espe 2
Varde 3
BK Union 1
Boldklubben 1893 0
TBD -
Horsens -
Midtjylland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyngby -
TBD -
Skjold 0
Fremad Amager 1
Hellerup 2
Jaegersborg 1
Taastrup 0
Herstedoster IC 1
Herlev 4
Karlslunde 1
TBD -
Silkeborg -
Avarta 4
Skovshoved 2
Sunshine 0
BK Frem 3
Brabrand 3
Aarhus Fremad 2
Hatting Torsted 0
Fredericia 5
Koge 9
Toreby-Graenge 0
Eskilstrup 0
Roskilde KFUM 12
Ledoje-Smorum 8
Naestved 77 0
Holbaek 1
Nykobing 2
Vejgaard 3
Vildbjerg 2
TBD -
Hobro -
Norresundby 2
Lyseng 1
TBD -
Aalborg -
FC Copenhagen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Naestved IF 3
Vordingborg 1
Rudersdal 0
Hillerod 5
Vendsyssel FF 9
Kjellerup 0
Alleso 0
Vejle 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
AB Copenhagen 2
Helsingor 0
Avedore 0
Slagelse 1
FC Sonderborg 3
Chang Odense 2
Jammerbugt 1
Viborg 2
Marienlyst 3
Hedensted 1
Odder 0
Holstebro 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Esbjerg -
Aarhus -
TBD -
Kolding BK 3
Marstal/Rise 5
Djursland 3
Dronninglund 0
Ringkobing 0
VSK Aarhus 1
Otterup 2
Flemlose Harby 1
OKS Odense 1
FC Sydvest 05 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Odense -
1/32-finals
Viby 3
Fuglebakken 0
FB 2
Vanlose 3
Roskilde 3
Tarup-Paarup 0
Kolding IF 0
Randers FC 4
Brondby -
TBD -
Middelfart 0
Skive 2
Hvidovre IF 5
B 1908 2
BK Viktoria 0
Sonderjyske 5
Thisted FC 4
Varde 3
BK Union 0
Horsens 2
Midtjylland -
TBD -
Lyngby 1
Fremad Amager 2
Hellerup 7
Herstedoster IC 4
Herlev 1
Silkeborg 3
Avarta 2
BK Frem 1
Brabrand 1
Fredericia 4
Koge 3
Roskilde KFUM 1
Ledoje-Smorum 1
Nykobing 4
Vejgaard 2
Hobro 1
Norresundby 0
Aalborg 8
FC Copenhagen -
TBD -
Naestved IF 0
Hillerod 1
Vendsyssel FF 1
Vejle 0
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
AB Copenhagen 2
Slagelse 1
FC Sonderborg 0
Viborg 4
Marienlyst 2
Holstebro 1
TBD -
Esbjerg -
Aarhus 6
Marstal/Rise 2
Djursland 1
VSK Aarhus 4
Otterup 4
FC Sydvest 05 0
TBD -
Odense -
1/16-finals
Viby 1
Vanlose 0
Roskilde 1
Randers FC 2
Brondby 3
Skive 2
Hvidovre IF 2
Sonderjyske 4
Thisted FC 1
Horsens 2
Midtjylland 0
Fremad Amager 1
Hellerup 0
Silkeborg 1
Avarta 2
Fredericia 4
Koge 1
Nykobing 0
Vejgaard 0
Aalborg 6
FC Copenhagen 2
Hillerod 1
Vendsyssel FF 0
Nordsjaelland 2
AB Copenhagen 3
Viborg 1
Marienlyst 2
Esbjerg 5
Aarhus 3
VSK Aarhus 1
Otterup 0
Odense 2
1/8-finals
Viby 0
Randers FC 2
Brondby 0
Sonderjyske 1
Horsens 3
Fremad Amager 0
Silkeborg 4
Fredericia 3
Koge 0
Aalborg 3
FC Copenhagen 4
Nordsjaelland 1
AB Copenhagen 1
Esbjerg 2
Aarhus 1
Odense 0
Quarter-finals
Randers FC 1
Sonderjyske 2
Horsens 2
Silkeborg 1
Aalborg 2
FC Copenhagen 0
Esbjerg 1
Aarhus 4
Semi-finals
Sonderjyske 2
Horsens 1
Aalborg 3
Aarhus 2
Final
Sonderjyske 2
Aalborg 0