Sport Picks
Match Events
47'
47'
Mensah G.
56'
56'
Grech C.
63'
63'
Spiteri A.
AI Match Summary
Mellieha in this FA Trophy 2024/2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
68%
15%
17%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tarxien
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Tarxien lately — more wins on the board than Mellieha.
- Model gives Tarxien a 68% chance of winning this.
- Tarxien have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Mellieha, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Tarxien Clean Sheet 17%
Mellieha Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tarxien | Mellieha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 1 |
| Losses | 15 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.49 | 2.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 7, 2024 FA Trophy
Tarxien vs Mellieha
1:2
Nov 27, 2013 FA Trophy
Mellieha vs Tarxien
0:1
Mar 13, 2008 Challenge League
Tarxien vs Mellieha
3:0
Oct 26, 2007 Challenge League
Mellieha vs Tarxien
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tarxien Compare
Top Goalscorer Mensah G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46
Mellieha Compare
Top Goalscorer Grech C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tarxien 84 / 100
Mellieha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tarxien Mellieha
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tarxien Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Mellieha conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Tarxien scored in 74% of their last 35 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.
Tarxien went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tarxien VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Tarxien
(Home) 20 Sept
Tarxien
3 : 1 Attard
13 Sept
Mgarr
1 : 3 Tarxien
10 May
Zabbar
2 : 0 Tarxien
05 May
Zabbar
2 : 3 Tarxien
30 Apr
Tarxien
2 : 1 Sliema
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Tarxien
3 : 1 Attard
30 Apr
Tarxien
2 : 1 Sliema
24 Apr
Tarxien
0 : 0 Birkirkara
19 Apr
Tarxien
3 : 3 Zabbar
14 Apr
Tarxien
3 : 2 Hibernians
Page 1 of 4
Mellieha
(Away) 10 Jan
Zurrieq
1 : 0 Mellieha
07 Dec
Tarxien
1 : 2 Mellieha
08 Dec
Vittoriosa
2 : 0 Mellieha
26 Oct
Mellieha
1 : 4 Swieqi
02 Dec
Mellieha
0 : 5 Lija
Page 1 of 6
10 Jan
Zurrieq
1 : 0 Mellieha
07 Dec
Tarxien
1 : 2 Mellieha
08 Dec
Vittoriosa
2 : 0 Mellieha
10 Sept
Mdina
2 : 3 Mellieha
25 Oct
Lija
2 : 1 Mellieha
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Fgura -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
Gzira -
Valletta 3
Nadur 1
Mgarr 2
Victoria Wanderers 3
Xaghra -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Senglea 0
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Xewkija -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Sirens 3
Santa Lucia 1
TBD -
Qrendi -
Lija -
TBD -
TBD -
Zabbar -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Swieqi 1
Mtarfa 0
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Qala Saints -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Hibernians -
TBD -
Zebbug 6
Oratory 1
Zurrieq -
TBD -
Tarxien 1
Mellieha 2
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
1/16-finals
Fgura 3
Attard 1
Birkirkara 2
Balzan FC 1
Gudja 0
Gzira 5
Valletta 4
Victoria Wanderers 0
Xaghra 1
Victoria Hotspurs 5
Floriana 2
Xewkija 0
Marsaxlokk 0
Mosta FC 3
Sirens 0
Qrendi 2
Lija 0
Zabbar 5
Hamrun 5
Swieqi 0
Pieta 1
Marsa 5
Sliema 8
Ghajnsielem 0
Qala Saints 2
St. Andrews 0
Hibernians 3
Zebbug 0
Zurrieq 1
Mellieha 0
Naxxar Lions 4
Melita 2
1/8-finals
Fgura 0
Birkirkara 3
Gzira 0
Valletta 1
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Floriana 4
Mosta FC 4
Qrendi 0
Zabbar 1
Hamrun 2
Marsa 0
Sliema 4
Qala Saints 0
Hibernians 3
Zurrieq 0
Naxxar Lions 4
Quarter-finals
Birkirkara 3
Valletta 1
Floriana 2
Mosta FC 0
Hamrun 2
Sliema 0
Hibernians 2
Naxxar Lions 0
Semi-finals
Birkirkara 2
Floriana 1
Hamrun 1
Hibernians 2
Final
Birkirkara 1
Hibernians 2
