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Tasman United vs Auckland City

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Lewis C.
45' Event
Slotemaker F.
90' Event
Saiko J.

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship 2019/2020 game between Tasman United and Auckland City finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tasman United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tasman United
6%
Draws
90%
Auckland City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Auckland City come out ahead of Tasman United on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Auckland City taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Auckland City here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Tasman United Clean Sheet 20%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tasman United Auckland City
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 8 19
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2020 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Auckland City
2:1
Dec 1, 2019 Football Championship
Auckland City vs Tasman United
2:1
Dec 16, 2018 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Auckland City
1:3
Oct 21, 2018 Football Championship
Auckland City vs Tasman United
3:1
Feb 17, 2018 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Auckland City
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tasman United Compare

Top Goalscorer Slotemaker F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saiko J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Auckland City Compare

Top Goalscorer Lewis C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tasman United 10 / 100
Auckland City 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tasman United Auckland City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tasman United's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Auckland City let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Tasman United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Auckland City
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tasman United

(Home)
14 Mar
Hamilton
3 : 3
Tasman United
08 Mar
Wellington Phoenix 2
3 : 1
Tasman United
23 Feb
Tasman United
2 : 1
Auckland City
09 Feb
Team Wellington
3 : 1
Tasman United
02 Feb
Tasman United
3 : 1
Hawke s Bay
Page 1 of 6

Auckland City

(Away)
25 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
3 : 2
Auckland City
04 Jul
Auckland City
3 : 0
Takapuna Afc
13 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Auckland City
06 Dec
Auckland City
3 : 0
Coastal Spirit
30 Nov
Western Springs
1 : 3
Auckland City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland City16114142:1537
2Team Wellington16104236:1534
3Waitakere United1683535:3227
4Eastern Suburbs1664633:2622
5Tasman United1662827:2620
6Hamilton1662824:3920
7Southern United1654725:3819
8Wellington Phoenix 21646630:3218
9Hawke s Bay1643932:4415
10Canterbury16241019:3610
Promotion - Football Championship 2019/2020 (Play Offs)