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Tasman United vs Canterbury Prediction & H2H Stats

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2018/2019
Sun, Mar 17, 2019
0 - 0
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tasman United host Canterbury in the Football Championship 2018/2019. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Tasman United have averaged 1.54 scored and 1.68 conceded recently, against Canterbury's 1.3 scored and 1.93 conceded. Head-to-head, Tasman United have won 0 to Canterbury's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.25) point toward Canterbury. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tasman United
20%
Draws
40%
Canterbury
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tasman United come out ahead of Canterbury on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Football Championship 2018/2019 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Tasman United Clean Sheet 19%
Canterbury Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tasman United Canterbury
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.54 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2020 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Canterbury
0:0
Dec 20, 2019 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Tasman United
2:0
Mar 17, 2019 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Canterbury
0:0
Jan 6, 2019 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Tasman United
1:0
Jan 7, 2018 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Canterbury
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tasman United 32 / 100
Canterbury 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tasman United Canterbury

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canterbury Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canterbury has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Tasman United found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Tasman United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tasman United VS Canterbury
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tasman United

(Home)
14 Mar
Hamilton
3 : 3
Tasman United
08 Mar
Wellington Phoenix 2
3 : 1
Tasman United
23 Feb
Tasman United
2 : 1
Auckland City
09 Feb
Team Wellington
3 : 1
Tasman United
02 Feb
Tasman United
3 : 1
Hawke s Bay
Page 1 of 6

Canterbury

(Away)
27 Feb
Canterbury
5 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2
20 Feb
Canterbury
0 : 2
Team Wellington
14 Feb
Auckland City
2 : 0
Canterbury
06 Feb
Canterbury
2 : 1
Hawke s Bay
31 Jan
Hamilton
1 : 1
Canterbury
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 18 17 1 0 46:18 52
2 Eastern Suburbs 18 13 1 4 53:16 40
3 Canterbury 18 10 4 4 34:29 34
4 Team Wellington 18 10 4 4 43:25 34
5 Southern United 18 6 5 7 24:30 23
6 Hamilton 18 5 2 11 34:44 17
7 Hawke s Bay 18 4 5 9 38:55 17
8 Tasman United 18 3 5 10 22:36 14
9 Waitakere United 18 4 1 13 29:46 13
10 Wellington Phoenix 2 18 3 2 13 22:46 11
Promotion - Football Championship 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2018/2019 (Play Offs)