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Tasman United vs Team Wellington

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tasman United play Team Wellington in the Football Championship 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tasman United averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. Team Wellington averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. In past meetings, Tasman United won 1, Team Wellington won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 9, 2020 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Tasman United and 1.24 for Team Wellington. This points to a Team Wellington double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Tasman United
24%
Draws
50%
Team Wellington
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Team Wellington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Tasman United picked up more points recently compared to Team Wellington.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.24 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Tasman United Clean Sheet 19%
Team Wellington Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tasman United Team Wellington
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 18
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.54 2.4
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2020 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Tasman United
3:1
Nov 24, 2019 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Team Wellington
1:0
Jan 20, 2019 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Team Wellington
2:2
Nov 4, 2018 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Tasman United
2:0
Jan 27, 2018 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Team Wellington
1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tasman United 27 / 100
Team Wellington 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tasman United Team Wellington

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Team Wellington or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tasman United attacking → ← attacking Team Wellington

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tasman United scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Team Wellington let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Tasman United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Team Wellington lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 62
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Auckland City16114142:1537
2Team Wellington16104236:1534
3Waitakere United1683535:3227
4Eastern Suburbs1664633:2622
5Tasman United1662827:2620
6Hamilton1662824:3920
7Southern United1654725:3819
8Wellington Phoenix 21646630:3218
9Hawke s Bay1643932:4415
10Canterbury16241019:3610