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Tau vs Siena

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Serie D - Group E
Tau Logo

Tau

0 - 0
FT
Siena Logo

Siena

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E game between Tau and Siena finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Tau
35%
Draws
32%
Siena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Medium Confidence
  • Tau have managed 1.5 goals a game lately — Siena are scoring more at 2.88.
  • Model gives Siena a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Tau Clean Sheet 10%
Siena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tau Siena
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.5 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Tau vs Siena
0:0
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Siena vs Tau
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tau 26 / 100
Siena 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tau Siena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tau found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Siena conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Tau stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Tau VS Siena
1.5 Goals Scored 2.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tau

(Home)
05 Aug
Grosseto
2 : 2
Tau
10 May
Tau
0 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
03 May
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 2
Tau
26 Apr
Tau
3 : 2
Terranuova Traiana
19 Apr
Poggibonsi
0 : 0
Tau
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Siena

(Away)
31 Jul
Siena
2 : 0
Scandicci
10 May
Prato
3 : 1
Siena
03 May
Siena
4 : 4
Sporting Trestina
26 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
2 : 5
Siena
19 Apr
Siena
0 : 0
Montevarchi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosseto 34 22 6 6 58:25 72
2 Tau 34 18 9 7 53:33 63
3 Prato 34 20 5 9 49:29 63
4 Siena 34 17 9 8 57:35 60
5 Seravezza Pozzi 34 15 12 7 42:29 57
6 Terranuova Traiana 34 14 9 11 28:30 51
7 Foligno 34 14 9 11 45:37 51
8 Scandicci 34 11 15 8 39:32 48
9 Montevarchi 34 10 16 8 28:32 46
10 Sporting Trestina 34 10 12 12 40:42 42
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 9 13 12 30:35 40
12 Ghiviborgo 34 10 10 14 42:44 40
13 Orvietana 34 9 11 14 33:37 38
14 Follonica Gavorrano 34 9 10 15 36:49 37
15 Camaiore Calcio 34 9 8 17 41:54 35
16 Poggibonsi 34 7 10 17 29:46 31
17 Cannara 34 6 8 20 24:59 26
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 2 16 16 20:46 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)