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Taubate vs Santo Andre

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Felipe Santana
39' Event
Maranhao

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Taubate
35%
Draws
34%
Santo Andre
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Santo Andre have won more games recently than Taubate.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Taubate taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Taubate Clean Sheet 68%
Santo Andre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taubate Santo Andre
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 13 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.2 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 Paulista A2
Taubate vs Santo Andre
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 Copa Paulista
Santo Andre vs Taubate
1:1
Jun 20, 2025 Copa Paulista
Taubate vs Santo Andre
0:0
Jan 22, 2025 Paulista A2
Santo Andre vs Taubate
0:1
Jan 27, 2019 Paulista A2
Santo Andre vs Taubate
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taubate Compare

Top Goalscorer Maranhao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Santo Andre Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Santana
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taubate 59 / 100
Santo Andre 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taubate Santo Andre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taubate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Taubate stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Taubate scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Santo Andre has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Taubate VS Santo Andre
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Taubate

(Home)
07 Mar
Taubate
1 : 1
Gremio Prudente
28 Feb
Sao Bento
2 : 3
Taubate
25 Feb
Taubate
1 : 1
Piracicaba
21 Feb
Agua Santa
2 : 3
Taubate
18 Feb
Taubate
1 : 1
Santo Andre
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Santo Andre

(Away)
22 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0
EC Sao Bernardo
17 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 1
Santo Andre
08 Aug
Sao Jose EC
2 : 0
Santo Andre
02 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0
Sao Jose EC
26 Jul
Santo Andre
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agua Santa 15 10 1 4 24:14 31
2 Ferroviaria 15 8 4 3 22:12 28
3 Ituano 15 8 4 3 22:14 28
4 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 21:13 27
5 Sertaozinho 15 7 4 4 19:19 25
6 Votuporanguense 15 7 3 5 16:17 24
7 Juventus-SP 15 6 5 4 22:20 23
8 Piracicaba 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
9 Osasco Sporting 15 5 7 3 22:18 22
10 Santo Andre 15 5 3 7 16:22 18
11 Taubate 15 3 8 4 22:23 17
12 Internacional de Limeira 15 4 4 7 15:18 16
13 Linense 15 2 7 6 12:18 13
14 Monte Azul 15 2 6 7 17:22 12
15 Gremio Prudente 15 1 9 5 12:16 12
16 Sao Bento 15 1 2 12 8:25 5
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Second stage)
Relegation - Paulista A3 (Main)