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Taubate vs Santo Andre

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Felipe Santana
39' Event
Maranhao

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Taubate
28%
Draws
22%
Santo Andre
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Taubate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Taubate have won more games recently than Santo Andre.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Taubate taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Taubate Clean Sheet 68%
Santo Andre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taubate Santo Andre
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 7 6
Draws 14 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 Paulista A2
Taubate vs Santo Andre
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 Copa Paulista
Santo Andre vs Taubate
1:1
Jun 20, 2025 Copa Paulista
Taubate vs Santo Andre
0:0
Jan 22, 2025 Paulista A2
Santo Andre vs Taubate
0:1
Jan 27, 2019 Paulista A2
Santo Andre vs Taubate
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taubate Compare

Top Goalscorer Maranhao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Santo Andre Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Santana
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taubate 59 / 100
Santo Andre 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taubate Santo Andre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Taubate stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Taubate scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Santo Andre has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Santo Andre's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Taubate VS Santo Andre
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Taubate

(Home)
07 Mar
Taubate
1 : 1
Gremio Prudente
28 Feb
Sao Bento
2 : 3
Taubate
25 Feb
Taubate
1 : 1
Piracicaba
21 Feb
Agua Santa
2 : 3
Taubate
18 Feb
Taubate
1 : 1
Santo Andre
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Santo Andre

(Away)
19 Jul
EC Sao Bernardo
3 : 1
Santo Andre
07 Mar
Santo Andre
4 : 2
Sao Bento
01 Mar
Linense
1 : 1
Santo Andre
25 Feb
Santo Andre
1 : 2
Sertaozinho
22 Feb
Santo Andre
0 : 3
Sao Jose EC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Agua Santa15101424:1431
2Ferroviaria1584322:1228
3Ituano1584322:1428
4Sao Jose EC1583421:1327
5Sertaozinho1574419:1925
6Votuporanguense1573516:1724
7Juventus-SP1565422:2023
8Piracicaba1564516:1522
9Osasco Sporting1557322:1822
10Santo Andre1553716:2218
11Taubate1538422:2317
12Internacional de Limeira1544715:1816
13Linense1527612:1813
14Monte Azul1526717:2212
15Gremio Prudente1519512:1612
16Sao Bento1512128:255
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Second stage)
Relegation - Paulista A3 (Main)