Sport Picks
Taubate vs Sao Jose EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa Paulista 2025 
Match Events
72'
72'
Vinicius Tanque
75'
75'
Cerqueira G.
AI Match Summary
Sao Jose EC in this Copa Paulista 2025 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Taubate haven't matched Sao Jose EC's recent run of results.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Sao Jose EC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Sao Jose EC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Taubate Clean Sheet 19%
Sao Jose EC Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Taubate | Sao Jose EC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 7 | 18 |
| Draws | 13 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 6, 2026 Paulista A2
Taubate vs Sao Jose EC
1:2
Jul 20, 2025 Copa Paulista
Taubate vs Sao Jose EC
0:2
Jun 15, 2025 Copa Paulista
Sao Jose EC vs Taubate
2:0
Mar 19, 2025 Paulista A2
Taubate vs Sao Jose EC
1:0
Mar 15, 2025 Paulista A2
Sao Jose EC vs Taubate
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Taubate Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Sao Jose EC Compare
Top Goalscorer Vinicius Tanque
1 Goals Assists Leader Cerqueira G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Taubate 32 / 100
Sao Jose EC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Taubate Sao Jose EC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Taubate has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Attacking prowess: Taubate scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Sao Jose EC conceded in 58% of 33 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Taubate VS Sao Jose EC
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Taubate
(Home) 07 Mar
Taubate
1 : 1 Gremio Prudente
28 Feb
Sao Bento
2 : 3 Taubate
25 Feb
Taubate
1 : 1 Piracicaba
21 Feb
Agua Santa
2 : 3 Taubate
18 Feb
Taubate
1 : 1 Santo Andre
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07 Mar
Taubate
1 : 1 Gremio Prudente
25 Feb
Taubate
1 : 1 Piracicaba
18 Feb
Taubate
1 : 1 Santo Andre
14 Feb
Taubate
3 : 3 Monte Azul
06 Feb
Taubate
1 : 2 Sao Jose EC
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Sao Jose EC
(Away) 03 Oct
Sao Jose EC
1 : 0 Noroeste
27 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 1 Sao Jose EC
19 Sept
Sao Jose EC
3 : 0 Comercial
13 Sept
Comercial
0 : 0 Sao Jose EC
22 Aug
Sao Jose EC
0 : 0 Sao Caetano
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27 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 1 Sao Jose EC
13 Sept
Comercial
0 : 0 Sao Jose EC
15 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 3 Sao Jose EC
02 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0 Sao Jose EC
20 Jul
Sao Caetano
1 : 2 Sao Jose EC
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gremio Prudente | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12:6 | 16 |
| 2 | Monte Azul | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 3 | Noroeste | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 11 |
| 4 | AEA Aracatuba | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 5 | Linense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uniao Sao Joao | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:10 | 19 |
| 2 | Comercial | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 3 | Internacional de Limeira | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Francana | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 8:8 | 14 |
| 5 | Botafogo SP B | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:12 | 9 |
| 6 | Itapirense | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Piracicaba | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Primavera EC | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 3 | Paulista | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Sao Bento | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 5 | Guarani B | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 6 | Rio Branco SP | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6:13 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Jose EC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:7 | 20 |
| 2 | Portuguesa Santista | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 11:8 | 15 |
| 3 | Osasco Sporting | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 14 |
| 4 | Sao Caetano | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Taubate | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 6 | Santo Andre | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4:13 | 8 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
