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Taunton Town vs Farnham

England England

Southern League Premier South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Richards J.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 game between Taunton Town and Farnham finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Taunton Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Taunton Town
20%
Draws
44%
Farnham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Farnham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Farnham come out ahead of Taunton Town on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Taunton Town's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Taunton Town Clean Sheet 10%
Farnham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taunton Town Farnham
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 2.04 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Taunton Town vs Farnham
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Farnham vs Taunton Town
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taunton Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Richards J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Farnham Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taunton Town 34 / 100
Farnham 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taunton Town Farnham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taunton Town's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Farnham let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Taunton Town went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Taunton Town VS Farnham
3.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Taunton Town

(Home)
19 Sept
Salisbury
4 : 1
Taunton Town
12 Sept
Gosport Borough
3 : 1
Taunton Town
05 Sept
Taunton Town
4 : 0
Millbrook
31 Aug
Yate
1 : 4
Taunton Town
29 Aug
Taunton Town
4 : 3
Basingstoke
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Farnham

(Away)
19 Sept
Cirencester
2 : 2
Farnham
12 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 2
Farnham
05 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Farnham
31 Aug
Farnham
2 : 0
Torquay
29 Aug
Horsham FC
1 : 2
Farnham
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Walton & Hersham 42 29 5 8 94:42 92
2 Farnham 42 25 9 8 90:50 84
3 Gloucester City 42 25 7 10 93:51 82
4 Poole Town 42 21 12 9 80:50 75
5 Berkhamsted Town 42 21 9 12 62:50 72
6 Sholing 42 18 15 9 74:53 69
7 Chertsey Town 42 19 10 13 64:55 67
8 Gosport Borough 42 19 6 17 74:75 63
9 Uxbridge 42 15 14 13 74:70 59
10 Havant & Waterlooville 42 17 7 18 78:70 58
11 Plymouth Parkway 42 16 8 18 64:79 56
12 Bracknell Town 42 15 10 17 70:71 55
13 Yate 42 14 10 18 57:62 52
14 Hanwell Town 42 14 10 18 57:63 52
15 Wimborne 42 12 15 15 63:62 51
16 Taunton Town 42 14 9 19 65:70 51
17 Basingstoke 42 14 9 19 61:71 51
18 Evesham 42 11 14 17 51:62 47
19 Weymouth 42 13 8 21 53:71 47
20 Dorchester 42 9 13 20 48:79 40
21 Hungerford 42 9 11 22 47:87 38
22 Tiverton 42 5 3 34 39:115 18
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)