Sport Picks
Taunton Town vs Malvern Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Southern League Premier South 
Match Events
15'
15'
Rice J.
39'
39'
Clark H.
62'
62'
Robinson S.
AI Match Summary
Taunton Town in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Taunton Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Taunton Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Taunton Town have won more games recently than Malvern Town.
- Model gives Taunton Town a 49% chance of winning this.
- Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Taunton Town Clean Sheet 13%
Malvern Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Taunton Town | Malvern Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 24 |
| Wins | 13 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.04 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 2.08 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 11, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Taunton Town vs Malvern Town
5:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Taunton Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Jones D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Rice J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Malvern Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Clark H.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Taunton Town 48 / 100
Malvern Town 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Taunton Town Malvern Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Taunton Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Taunton Town's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 26 recent games.
Malvern Town let in goals in 83% of their last 24 matches.
Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.
Malvern Town lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Taunton Town VS Malvern Town
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Taunton Town
(Home) 30 Sept
Frome Town
2 : 2 Taunton Town
26 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
2 : 3 Taunton Town
22 Sept
Taunton Town
1 : 3 Bath City
19 Sept
Salisbury
4 : 1 Taunton Town
12 Sept
Gosport Borough
3 : 1 Taunton Town
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Taunton Town
1 : 3 Bath City
05 Sept
Taunton Town
4 : 0 Millbrook
29 Aug
Taunton Town
4 : 3 Basingstoke
15 Aug
Taunton Town
2 : 1 Berkhamsted Town
11 Aug
Taunton Town
5 : 2 Malvern Town
Page 1 of 3
Malvern Town
(Away) 29 Sept
Bath City
2 : 1 Malvern Town
26 Sept
Mickleover
2 : 1 Malvern Town
22 Sept
Malvern Town
5 : 2 Gloucester City
12 Sept
Chertsey Town
5 : 0 Malvern Town
07 Sept
Redditch
4 : 0 Malvern Town
Page 1 of 5
29 Sept
Bath City
2 : 1 Malvern Town
26 Sept
Mickleover
2 : 1 Malvern Town
12 Sept
Chertsey Town
5 : 0 Malvern Town
07 Sept
Redditch
4 : 0 Malvern Town
29 Aug
Gosport Borough
4 : 2 Malvern Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poole Town | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17:12 | 21 |
| 2 | Plymouth Parkway | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Uxbridge | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Hanworth Villa | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 19 |
| 5 | Bath City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Frome Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Taunton Town | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23:22 | 13 |
| 9 | Chichester City | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 10 | Evesham | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 | Berkhamsted Town | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Wimborne | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 13 | Gosport Borough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Yate | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Bracknell Town | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:18 | 11 |
| 16 | Sholing | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 18 | Hanwell Town | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 19 | Gloucester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 20 | Chippenham Town | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:16 | 7 |
| 21 | Havant & Waterlooville | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:16 | 5 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13:25 | 5 |
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