Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tauranga vs Eastern Suburbs

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2015
Sun, Jul 12, 2015
1 - 2
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Eastern Suburbs advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Tauranga
15%
Draws
57%
Eastern Suburbs
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eastern Suburbs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Eastern Suburbs carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Eastern Suburbs a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Eastern Suburbs arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Eastern Suburbs, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Tauranga Clean Sheet 10%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tauranga Eastern Suburbs
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 10 16
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.47 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2015 Chatham Cup
Tauranga vs Eastern Suburbs
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tauranga 22 / 100
Eastern Suburbs 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tauranga Eastern Suburbs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eastern Suburbs Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eastern Suburbs's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 35 matches.

Tauranga's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Eastern Suburbs lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Eastern Suburbs
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tauranga

(Home)
12 Jul
Tauranga
1 : 2
Eastern Suburbs
29 Jun
Tauranga
0 : 2
Onehunga
25 May
North Shore
3 : 1
Tauranga
18 May
Tauranga
2 : 3
Napier City
11 May
Tauranga
3 : 2
Canterbury
Page 1 of 6

Eastern Suburbs

(Away)
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2
Wellington Olympic
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2
Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3
Eastern Suburbs
24 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 2
Western Suburbs
16 Nov
Cashmere Technical
1 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Cashmere Technical 3
Coastal Spirit 1
Tauranga 1
Eastern Suburbs 2
Dunedin 6
Mosgiel 1
Mangere United 3
Papakura City 1
Birkenhead 2
East Coast 0
Central United 2
Three Kings 0
Wairarapa United 2
Western Suburbs 7
Wellington Olympic 3
Napier City 4
Quarter-finals
Cashmere Technical 1
Eastern Suburbs 2
Dunedin 1
Mangere United 2
Birkenhead 3
Central United 0
Western Suburbs 0
Napier City 3
Semi-finals
Eastern Suburbs 4
Mangere United 0
Birkenhead 1
Napier City 2
Final
Eastern Suburbs 2
Napier City 1