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Tauranga vs North Shore

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2003
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship 2003 game between Tauranga and North Shore finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tauranga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Tauranga
15%
Draws
57%
North Shore
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Shore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Tauranga have managed 1.47 goals a game lately — North Shore are scoring more at 1.53.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tauranga Clean Sheet 10%
North Shore Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tauranga North Shore
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.47 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2003 Football Championship
North Shore vs Tauranga
3:1
Mar 22, 2003 Football Championship
Tauranga vs North Shore
3:2
May 26, 2002 Football Championship
North Shore vs Tauranga
0:1
May 5, 2002 Football Championship
North Shore vs Tauranga
0:0
Mar 2, 2002 Football Championship
Tauranga vs North Shore
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tauranga 29 / 100
North Shore 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tauranga North Shore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tauranga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Shore has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Tauranga scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: North Shore registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tauranga VS North Shore
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tauranga

(Home)
12 Jul
Tauranga
1 : 2
Eastern Suburbs
29 Jun
Tauranga
0 : 2
Onehunga
25 May
North Shore
3 : 1
Tauranga
18 May
Tauranga
2 : 3
Napier City
11 May
Tauranga
3 : 2
Canterbury
Page 1 of 6

North Shore

(Away)
20 Feb
Miramar
3 : 0
North Shore
31 Jul
North Shore
3 : 2
Otago University
10 Jul
North Shore
1 : 0
Waiheke United
06 Jul
Onehunga
2 : 0
North Shore
16 Jul
Central United
4 : 0
North Shore
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Miramar 18 11 0 7 46:29 33
2 East Auckland 18 10 3 5 34:24 33
3 Central United 18 10 1 7 44:29 31
4 Napier City 18 9 2 7 29:28 29
5 Manawatu 18 8 3 7 32:29 27
6 Canterbury 18 7 5 6 34:34 26
7 North Shore 18 6 5 7 30:34 23
8 Caversham 18 5 5 8 19:26 20
9 Dunedin 18 6 2 10 24:38 20
10 Tauranga 18 4 2 12 20:41 14
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)