Sport Picks
Match Events
49'
49'
Gvildys K.
53'
53'
Sidlauskas A.
Own Goal
90'
90'
Vareika J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: BFA Vilnius
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tauras Taurage have won more games recently than BFA Vilnius.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Tauras Taurage Clean Sheet 10%
BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tauras Taurage | BFA Vilnius |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 I Lyga
Tauras Taurage vs BFA Vilnius
2:2
Apr 25, 2026 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Tauras Taurage
3:1
Oct 25, 2025 I Lyga
Tauras Taurage vs BFA Vilnius
2:3
Jun 18, 2025 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Tauras Taurage
2:2
Nov 8, 2024 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Tauras Taurage
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tauras Taurage Compare
Top Goalscorer Gvildys K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
BFA Vilnius Compare
Top Goalscorer Vareika J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Shvedchenko R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tauras Taurage 30 / 100
BFA Vilnius 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tauras Taurage BFA Vilnius
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BFA Vilnius Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tauras Taurage's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Defensive concern: BFA Vilnius conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
Solid form: Tauras Taurage remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Tauras Taurage VS BFA Vilnius
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Tauras Taurage
(Home) 18 Sept
Jonava
2 : 3 Tauras Taurage
12 Sept
Tauras Taurage
0 : 1 Zalgiris 2
05 Sept
FK Atmosfera
3 : 1 Tauras Taurage
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2 BFA Vilnius
21 Aug
FK Babrungas
1 : 1 Tauras Taurage
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Tauras Taurage
0 : 1 Zalgiris 2
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2 BFA Vilnius
08 Aug
Tauras Taurage
0 : 2 Neptunas
24 Jul
Tauras Taurage
4 : 2 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Jul
Tauras Taurage
3 : 1 Siauliai 2
Page 1 of 4
BFA Vilnius
(Away) 19 Sept
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1 BFA Vilnius
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3 BFA Vilnius
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1 FK Babrungas
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2 BFA Vilnius
22 Aug
BFA Vilnius
2 : 0 Neptunas
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1 BFA Vilnius
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3 BFA Vilnius
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2 BFA Vilnius
15 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 0 BFA Vilnius
02 Aug
Siauliai 2
1 : 0 BFA Vilnius
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minija | 24 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 63:13 | 64 |
| 2 | FK Babrungas | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 43:11 | 61 |
| 3 | BE1 NFA | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 43:25 | 50 |
| 4 | Neptunas | 25 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 33:30 | 44 |
| 5 | BFA Vilnius | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 39:35 | 43 |
| 6 | Zalgiris 2 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 38:32 | 43 |
| 7 | Tauras Taurage | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 43:31 | 43 |
| 8 | Dainava Alytus | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 34:23 | 40 |
| 9 | FK Atmosfera | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37:33 | 30 |
| 10 | Jonava | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 28:33 | 27 |
| 11 | Hegelmann Litauen 2 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 17 | 30:56 | 22 |
| 12 | FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 23:38 | 22 |
| 13 | Garliava | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 27:30 | 22 |
| 14 | Transinvest 2 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 29:58 | 21 |
| 15 | Siauliai 2 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 27:56 | 17 |
| 16 | Ekranas | 25 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 25:58 | 14 |
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)
