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Team TG FF W vs Umea W Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Svenska Cupen Women 2025/2026 Umea Energi Arena SOL, Umea
Wed, Oct 22, 2025
3 - 4
05:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Sandstrom A.
4' Event
Vaglund M.
8' Event
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-4, with Umea W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Team TG FF W
20%
Draws
60%
Umea W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Umea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Team TG FF W haven't matched Umea W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Umea W a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Umea W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Umea W, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Umea W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Team TG FF W Clean Sheet 20%
Umea W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Team TG FF W Umea W
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 7 19
Draws 4 9
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.95
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2025 Svenska Cupen Women
Team TG FF W vs Umea W
3:4
Oct 5, 2025 Elitettan Women
Team TG FF W vs Umea W
1:7
May 1, 2025 Elitettan Women
Umea W vs Team TG FF W
2:0
Aug 21, 2024 Svenska Cupen Women
Team TG FF W vs Umea W
1:2
Sep 1, 2021 Svenska Cupen Women
Team TG FF W vs Umea W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Team TG FF W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sandstrom A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vaglund M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Umea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Larsson C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Goldmann I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Team TG FF W 10 / 100
Umea W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Team TG FF W Umea W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umea W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Umea W let in goals in 72% of their last 39 matches.

Solid form: Team TG FF W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Team TG FF W's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Umea W
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Team TG FF W

(Home)
15 Nov
Team TG FF W
2 : 2
Gamla Upsala W
08 Nov
Hacken B W
1 : 1
Team TG FF W
02 Nov
Team TG FF W
0 : 1
Orebro SK W
22 Oct
Team TG FF W
3 : 4
Umea W
18 Oct
Elfsborg W
1 : 2
Team TG FF W
Page 1 of 6

Umea W

(Away)
04 Oct
Umea W
2 : 0
Husqvarna W
26 Sept
Sandviken W
1 : 2
Umea W
23 Sept
Sandviken W
2 : 6
Umea W
20 Sept
Umea W
5 : 1
Enskede W
12 Sept
Hacken B W
0 : 2
Umea W
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Skelleftea FC W 0
Sunnana W 2
TBD -
Pitea W -
IFK Ostersund W 0
Team TG FF W 1
Gimonas W 0
Umea W 2
Tierps W 2
IK Uppsala Fotboll W 1
Gefle W 2
Brage W 1
Enskede W 1
Bollstanas W 0
TBD -
AIK W -
Alvsjo W 2
Gamla Upsala W 0
TBD -
IF Brommapojkarna W -
Varmdo W 1
Sollentuna W 2
TBD -
Hammarby W -
Smedby W 0
Orebro SK W 2
TBD -
Norrkoping W -
Rada W 3
KIF Orebro W 2
TBD -
Linkoping W -
Sturehov IK W 1
Mallbacken W 2
TBD -
Alingsas W -
Tyreso W 0
Eskilstuna United W 5
TBD -
Djurgarden W -
Rosso Uddevalla W 1
Trollhattan W 0
TBD -
Hacken W -
Skepplanda W 0
Jitex W 10
TBD -
Vittsjo W -
Husqvarna W 1
Elfsborg W 2
TBD -
Vaxjo DFF W -
Stafsinge W 1
Helsingborg W 6
TBD -
Kristianstad W -
Sjostaden Karlskrona W 3
Lilla Torg W 4
TBD -
Rosengard W -
Staffanstorp W 1
Trelleborg W 3
TBD -
Malmo FF W -
Final
Sunnana W 0
Pitea W 3
Team TG FF W 3
Umea W 4
Tierps W 1
Gefle W 8
Enskede W 2
AIK W 6
Alvsjo W 1
IF Brommapojkarna W 3
Sollentuna W 0
Hammarby W 5
Orebro SK W 1
Norrkoping W 4
Rada W 0
Linkoping W 6
Mallbacken W 1
Alingsas W 5
Eskilstuna United W 0
Djurgarden W 2
Rosso Uddevalla W 0
Hacken W 10
Jitex W 0
Vittsjo W 3
Elfsborg W 0
Vaxjo DFF W 4
Helsingborg W 1
Kristianstad W 2
Lilla Torg W 0
Rosengard W 7
Trelleborg W 0
Malmo FF W 4