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Team Wellington vs Auckland City

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Rogerson L.
21'
Kaltack B.
21'
Kaltack B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Football Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Team Wellington
33%
Draws
27%
Auckland City
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Team Wellington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Auckland City average 0.75 goals a game right now, well clear of Team Wellington's 0.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Team Wellington taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Football Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Team Wellington Clean Sheet 20%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Team Wellington Auckland City
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 18 18
Draws 7 7
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2021 Football Championship
Auckland City vs Team Wellington
2:4
Feb 7, 2021 Football Championship
Auckland City vs Team Wellington
3:1
Dec 6, 2020 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Auckland City
2:2
Jan 26, 2020 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Auckland City
0:0
Nov 10, 2019 Football Championship
Auckland City vs Team Wellington
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Team Wellington Compare

Top Goalscorer Watson H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Auckland City Compare

Top Goalscorer Rogerson L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Team Wellington 40 / 100
Auckland City 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Team Wellington Auckland City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Team Wellington scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Team Wellington has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Auckland City has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Auckland City
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland City1484227:1328
2Team Wellington1475235:2126
3Hamilton1455423:2120
4Eastern Suburbs1454525:2319
5Waitakere United1446428:2618
6Canterbury1453621:2418
7Hawke s Bay1441917:2913
8Wellington Phoenix 21424818:3710