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Team Wellington vs Henderson Eels

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Allen R.
21'
Sub
Waita A. In: Tagana A.
Out: Waita A.
23'
Sub
Mitchell A. In: Mulholland D.
Out: Mitchell A.

AI Match Summary

Team Wellington in this OFC Champions League 2019 tie, finishing 6-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Team Wellington
20%
Draws
28%
Henderson Eels
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Team Wellington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Team Wellington lately — more wins on the board than Henderson Eels.
  • Team Wellington are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Team Wellington have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Team Wellington, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42.400000000000006%
Team Wellington Clean Sheet 68%
Henderson Eels Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Team Wellington Henderson Eels
Matches Played 29 7
Wins 19 3
Draws 7 2
Losses 3 2
Goals Scored 2.62 3.43
Goals Conceded 1.17 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2019 OFC Champions League
Team Wellington vs Henderson Eels
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Team Wellington Compare

Top Goalscorer Allen R.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Sinclair J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Henderson Eels Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Team Wellington 95 / 100
Henderson Eels 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Team Wellington Henderson Eels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Team Wellington Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Team Wellington scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Henderson Eels's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 7 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Team Wellington has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Team Wellington VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Team Wellington

(Home)
21 Mar
Auckland City
2 : 4
Team Wellington
13 Mar
Team Wellington
4 : 1
Hamilton
27 Feb
Team Wellington
3 : 2
Hamilton
20 Feb
Canterbury
0 : 2
Team Wellington
13 Feb
Team Wellington
7 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 6

Henderson Eels

(Away)
21 Feb
Henderson Eels
3 : 2
Lautoka
18 Feb
Malampa Revivors
2 : 2
Henderson Eels
15 Feb
Lae City
3 : 3
Henderson Eels
07 Apr
Team Wellington
6 : 1
Henderson Eels
16 Feb
Henderson Eels
7 : 0
Morobe Wawens
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Central Sport 0
Magenta 8
Auckland City 4
Lae City 0
Hienghene Sport 2
Ba 1
Team Wellington 6
Henderson Eels 1
Semi-finals
Magenta 2
Auckland City 1
Hienghene Sport 2
Team Wellington 0
Final
Magenta 0
Hienghene Sport 1