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Team Wellington vs Tasman United

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Sinclair J.
(Penalty)
11' Event
Schrijvers T.
43' Event
Wilson S.

AI Match Summary

Team Wellington in this Football Championship 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Team Wellington.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Team Wellington
6%
Draws
4%
Tasman United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Team Wellington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Team Wellington lately — more wins on the board than Tasman United.
  • Win probability leans Team Wellington's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Team Wellington Clean Sheet 20%
Tasman United Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Team Wellington Tasman United
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2020 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Tasman United
3:1
Nov 24, 2019 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Team Wellington
1:0
Jan 20, 2019 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Team Wellington
2:2
Nov 4, 2018 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Tasman United
2:0
Jan 27, 2018 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Team Wellington
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Team Wellington Compare

Top Goalscorer Schrijvers T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McKeown R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Tasman United Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilson S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Team Wellington 85 / 100
Tasman United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Team Wellington Tasman United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Team Wellington's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Team Wellington has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tasman United let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Team Wellington VS Tasman United
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Team Wellington

(Home)
21 Mar
Auckland City
2 : 4
Team Wellington
13 Mar
Team Wellington
4 : 1
Hamilton
27 Feb
Team Wellington
3 : 2
Hamilton
20 Feb
Canterbury
0 : 2
Team Wellington
13 Feb
Team Wellington
7 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
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Tasman United

(Away)
14 Mar
Hamilton
3 : 3
Tasman United
08 Mar
Wellington Phoenix 2
3 : 1
Tasman United
23 Feb
Tasman United
2 : 1
Auckland City
09 Feb
Team Wellington
3 : 1
Tasman United
02 Feb
Tasman United
3 : 1
Hawke s Bay
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland City16114142:1537
2Team Wellington16104236:1534
3Waitakere United1683535:3227
4Eastern Suburbs1664633:2622
5Tasman United1662827:2620
6Hamilton1662824:3920
7Southern United1654725:3819
8Wellington Phoenix 21646630:3218
9Hawke s Bay1643932:4415
10Canterbury16241019:3610
Promotion - Football Championship 2019/2020 (Play Offs)