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Team Wellington vs WaiBOP United

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2015/2016
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Lissette T.
Own Goal
74' Event
Harris B.
80' Event
Corrales L.

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship 2015/2016 game between Team Wellington and WaiBOP United finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Team Wellington.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Team Wellington
6%
Draws
4%
WaiBOP United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Team Wellington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Team Wellington carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Team Wellington taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Team Wellington have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Team Wellington Clean Sheet 20%
WaiBOP United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Team Wellington WaiBOP United
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 21 13
Draws 7 1
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2016 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs WaiBOP United
3:1
Nov 15, 2015 Football Championship
WaiBOP United vs Team Wellington
2:3
Jan 31, 2015 Football Championship
WaiBOP United vs Team Wellington
2:1
Nov 16, 2014 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs WaiBOP United
3:2
Feb 21, 2014 Football Championship
WaiBOP United vs Team Wellington
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Team Wellington Compare

Top Goalscorer Harris B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Corrales L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

WaiBOP United Compare

Top Goalscorer Tinsley R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Team Wellington 85 / 100
WaiBOP United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Team Wellington WaiBOP United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Team Wellington found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (32 games).

WaiBOP United let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Team Wellington remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Team Wellington VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland City14122043:1238
2Hawke s Bay1493229:1630
3Team Wellington1483336:2127
4Canterbury1482428:2326
5WaiBOP United1460829:2718
6Waitakere United1441923:3613
7Wellington Phoenix 214211124:467
8Southern United14101311:423