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TEC vs Caicara

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Juniel
72' Event
Matheus Taumaturgo
(Penalty)
82' Event
Oliveira C.

AI Match Summary

The Piauiense 2 2025 game between TEC and Caicara finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TEC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
TEC
30%
Draws
23%
Caicara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: TEC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TEC come out ahead of Caicara on wins alone.
  • TEC are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
TEC Clean Sheet 20%
Caicara Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TEC Caicara
Matches Played 15 13
Wins 5 3
Draws 6 3
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 0.8 0.85
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 0.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Piauiense 2
TEC vs Caicara
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TEC Compare

Top Goalscorer Juniel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Caicara Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.59
Avg xA / game 0.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TEC 42 / 100
Caicara 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TEC Caicara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caicara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 13 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Caicara registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: TEC scored in 53% of their last 15 outings.

Scoring Trends

TEC VS Caicara
0.88 Goals Scored 0.67
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.17
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

TEC

(Home)
22 Feb
Parnahyba
1 : 1
TEC
11 Feb
Atletico-PI
1 : 0
TEC
08 Feb
TEC
0 : 2
Piaui
01 Feb
Fluminense-PI
1 : 0
TEC
23 Jan
TEC
1 : 0
Oeirense
Page 1 of 3

Caicara

(Away)
18 Oct
TEC
2 : 1
Caicara
11 Oct
Caicara
0 : 0
Flamengo PI
05 Oct
Caicara
0 : 2
Comercial PI
01 Oct
Picos
2 : 2
Caicara
28 Sept
Caicara
0 : 1
Corisabba
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corisabba 5 3 2 0 4:1 11
2 Flamengo PI 5 2 3 0 4:0 9
3 TEC 5 2 3 0 3:1 9
4 Comercial PI 5 1 1 3 5:6 4
5 Picos 5 0 3 2 4:8 3
6 Caicara 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
Promotion - Piauiense 2 2025 (Play Offs)