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TEC vs Purmersteijn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TEC host Purmersteijn in the Derde Divisie. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: TEC at 1.94 goals for, 1.7 against; Purmersteijn at 1.59 for, 2 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 2.75 vs 2.19, favoring Purmersteijn. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
TEC
20%
Draws
40%
Purmersteijn
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TEC come out ahead of Purmersteijn on wins alone.
  • TEC are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
TEC Clean Sheet 10%
Purmersteijn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TEC Purmersteijn
Matches Played 33 17
Wins 14 8
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.94 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.7 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TEC 56 / 100
Purmersteijn 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TEC Purmersteijn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Purmersteijn conceded in 88% of 17 recent games.

TEC found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

Solid form: TEC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Purmersteijn has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

TEC VS Purmersteijn
4 Goals Scored 2
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

TEC

(Home)
17 Oct
VV Scherpenzeel
1 : 1
TEC
10 Oct
TEC
1 : 0
SVZW Wierden
03 Oct
Staphorst
0 : 3
TEC
26 Sept
TEC
7 : 2
Eemdijk
23 Sept
Watergraafsmeer
5 : 4
TEC
Page 1 of 7

Purmersteijn

(Away)
17 Oct
Purmersteijn
3 : 0
Sparta Nijkerk
10 Oct
ACV Assen
1 : 1
Purmersteijn
03 Oct
Purmersteijn
4 : 2
Harkemase Boys
26 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 0
Purmersteijn
23 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
0 : 1
Purmersteijn
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 10 7 2 1 26:10 23
2 VV Scherpenzeel 10 7 2 1 18:10 23
3 Harkemase Boys 10 7 2 1 20:14 23
4 Excelsior 31 10 7 1 2 28:9 22
5 Genemuiden 10 7 0 3 22:15 21
6 TEC 10 6 2 2 29:17 20
7 Sportlust 10 5 4 1 18:14 19
8 Purmersteijn 10 5 3 2 19:12 18
9 Sparta Nijkerk 10 4 2 4 22:21 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 10 4 1 5 24:23 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
12 USV Hercules 10 3 1 6 12:22 10
13 Staphorst 10 2 3 5 16:21 9
14 Eemdijk 9 2 1 6 13:28 7
15 DVS '33 Ermelo 10 1 3 6 13:19 6
16 VV DOVO 10 1 2 7 12:25 5
17 HVV Hollandia 9 1 1 7 16:27 4
18 SVZW Wierden 10 0 1 9 9:28 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 10 8 1 1 22:2 25
2 Lisse 10 8 1 1 22:8 25
3 Excelsior Maassluis 10 7 2 1 21:7 23
4 Rijnvogels 10 6 2 2 25:12 20
5 RKSV UDI 19 10 6 2 2 20:9 20
6 Dongen 10 5 1 4 24:21 16
7 VV Zwaluwen 10 5 1 4 11:14 16
8 SV Poortugaal 10 5 0 5 12:14 15
9 GOES 10 4 2 4 19:25 14
10 Gemert 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
11 Blauw Geel 10 3 3 4 14:14 12
12 Roosendaal 10 3 1 6 18:23 10
13 TOGB 10 2 3 5 16:24 9
14 Groene Ster 10 2 3 5 14:24 9
15 UNA 10 1 5 4 12:16 8
16 VVSB 10 2 2 6 13:21 8
17 Achilles Veen 10 2 0 8 8:22 6
18 EVV 10 0 3 7 11:23 3
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)