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Stadium Background

TEC vs Sparta Nijkerk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TEC in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored TEC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
TEC
15%
Draws
40%
Sparta Nijkerk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TEC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to TEC lately — more wins on the board than Sparta Nijkerk.
  • TEC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
TEC Clean Sheet 10%
Sparta Nijkerk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TEC Sparta Nijkerk
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.03 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Derde Divisie
TEC vs Sparta Nijkerk
3:1
Mar 14, 2026 Derde Divisie
TEC vs Sparta Nijkerk
3:2
Oct 11, 2025 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs TEC
2:3
May 17, 2025 Derde Divisie
TEC vs Sparta Nijkerk
0:2
Dec 7, 2024 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs TEC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TEC 83 / 100
Sparta Nijkerk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TEC Sparta Nijkerk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: TEC scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Sparta Nijkerk let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

TEC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

TEC VS Sparta Nijkerk
4 Goals Scored 2.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TEC

(Home)
17 Oct
VV Scherpenzeel
1 : 1
TEC
10 Oct
TEC
1 : 0
SVZW Wierden
03 Oct
Staphorst
0 : 3
TEC
26 Sept
TEC
7 : 2
Eemdijk
23 Sept
Watergraafsmeer
5 : 4
TEC
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Sparta Nijkerk

(Away)
17 Oct
Purmersteijn
3 : 0
Sparta Nijkerk
10 Oct
Sparta Nijkerk
0 : 2
VV Scherpenzeel
03 Oct
SVZW Wierden
0 : 2
Sparta Nijkerk
26 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 2
Staphorst
23 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 1
RKSV UDI 19
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 10 7 2 1 26:10 23
2 VV Scherpenzeel 10 7 2 1 18:10 23
3 Harkemase Boys 10 7 2 1 20:14 23
4 Excelsior 31 10 7 1 2 28:9 22
5 Genemuiden 10 7 0 3 22:15 21
6 TEC 10 6 2 2 29:17 20
7 Sportlust 10 5 4 1 18:14 19
8 Purmersteijn 10 5 3 2 19:12 18
9 Sparta Nijkerk 10 4 2 4 22:21 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 10 4 1 5 24:23 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
12 USV Hercules 10 3 1 6 12:22 10
13 Staphorst 10 2 3 5 16:21 9
14 Eemdijk 9 2 1 6 13:28 7
15 DVS '33 Ermelo 10 1 3 6 13:19 6
16 VV DOVO 10 1 2 7 12:25 5
17 HVV Hollandia 9 1 1 7 16:27 4
18 SVZW Wierden 10 0 1 9 9:28 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 10 8 1 1 22:2 25
2 Lisse 10 8 1 1 22:8 25
3 Excelsior Maassluis 10 7 2 1 21:7 23
4 Rijnvogels 10 6 2 2 25:12 20
5 RKSV UDI 19 10 6 2 2 20:9 20
6 Dongen 10 5 1 4 24:21 16
7 VV Zwaluwen 10 5 1 4 11:14 16
8 SV Poortugaal 10 5 0 5 12:14 15
9 GOES 10 4 2 4 19:25 14
10 Gemert 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
11 Blauw Geel 10 3 3 4 14:14 12
12 Roosendaal 10 3 1 6 18:23 10
13 TOGB 10 2 3 5 16:24 9
14 Groene Ster 10 2 3 5 14:24 9
15 UNA 10 1 5 4 12:16 8
16 VVSB 10 2 2 6 13:21 8
17 Achilles Veen 10 2 0 8 8:22 6
18 EVV 10 0 3 7 11:23 3
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)