Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Sportlust in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sportlust.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TEC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to TEC lately — more wins on the board than Sportlust.
- Win probability leans TEC's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Sportlust here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
TEC Clean Sheet 10%
Sportlust Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | TEC | Sportlust |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.69 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Derde Divisie
TEC vs Sportlust
1:2
Jan 17, 2026 Derde Divisie
TEC vs Sportlust
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs TEC
4:2
May 24, 2025 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs TEC
3:1
Dec 14, 2024 Derde Divisie
TEC vs Sportlust
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
TEC 83 / 100
Sportlust 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
TEC Sportlust
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TEC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Sportlust conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Attacking prowess: TEC scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
TEC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
TEC VS Sportlust
4 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
TEC
(Home) 17 Oct
VV Scherpenzeel
1 : 1 TEC
10 Oct
TEC
1 : 0 SVZW Wierden
03 Oct
Staphorst
0 : 3 TEC
26 Sept
TEC
7 : 2 Eemdijk
23 Sept
Watergraafsmeer
5 : 4 TEC
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
TEC
1 : 0 SVZW Wierden
26 Sept
TEC
7 : 2 Eemdijk
12 Sept
TEC
4 : 4 DVS '33 Ermelo
01 Sept
TEC
4 : 2 Almkerk
29 Aug
TEC
1 : 2 Sportlust
Page 1 of 3
Sportlust
(Away) 23 Oct
Eemdijk
3 : 1 Sportlust
17 Oct
Sportlust
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
10 Oct
USV Hercules
0 : 0 Sportlust
03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3 Excelsior 31
26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2 Sportlust
Page 1 of 6
23 Oct
Eemdijk
3 : 1 Sportlust
10 Oct
USV Hercules
0 : 0 Sportlust
26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2 Sportlust
12 Sept
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4 Sportlust
29 Aug
TEC
1 : 2 Sportlust
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACV Assen | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26:10 | 23 |
| 2 | VV Scherpenzeel | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Harkemase Boys | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 4 | Excelsior 31 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:9 | 22 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22:15 | 21 |
| 6 | TEC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 29:17 | 20 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 8 | Purmersteijn | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19:12 | 18 |
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 22:21 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 24:23 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:21 | 13 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12:22 | 10 |
| 13 | Eemdijk | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:29 | 10 |
| 14 | Staphorst | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16:21 | 9 |
| 15 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13:19 | 6 |
| 16 | VV DOVO | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:25 | 5 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 16:27 | 4 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9:28 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Noordwijk | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22:2 | 25 |
| 2 | Lisse | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22:8 | 25 |
| 3 | Excelsior Maassluis | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:7 | 23 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25:12 | 20 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20:9 | 20 |
| 6 | Dongen | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 24:21 | 16 |
| 7 | VV Zwaluwen | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:14 | 16 |
| 8 | SV Poortugaal | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 12:14 | 15 |
| 9 | GOES | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:25 | 14 |
| 10 | Gemert | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 | Blauw Geel | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 12 |
| 12 | Roosendaal | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:23 | 10 |
| 13 | TOGB | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16:24 | 9 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14:24 | 9 |
| 15 | UNA | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12:16 | 8 |
| 16 | VVSB | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:21 | 8 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8:22 | 6 |
| 18 | EVV | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11:23 | 3 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
