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Tecnico U. vs LDU Quito - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Estupinan L.
Assist: Johan Bocanegra
52' Event
Estrada M.
Assist: Cornejo F.
59'
Sub
Carabali J. In: Segovia L.
Out: Carabali J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Tecnico U. and LDU Quito finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward LDU Quito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Tecnico U.
35%
Draws
45%
LDU Quito
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: LDU Quito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Tecnico U. haven't matched LDU Quito's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans LDU Quito's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors LDU Quito here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Tecnico U. Clean Sheet 16%
LDU Quito Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tecnico U. LDU Quito
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 15
Draws 1 10
Losses 20 6
Goals Scored 0.86 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs LDU Quito
1:3
May 15, 2026 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Tecnico U.
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs LDU Quito
1:3
May 31, 2025 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Tecnico U.
3:2
Oct 19, 2024 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs LDU Quito
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tecnico U. Compare

Top Goalscorer Estupinan L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

LDU Quito Compare

Top Goalscorer Estrada M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tecnico U. 28 / 100
LDU Quito 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tecnico U. LDU Quito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LDU Quito Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

LDU Quito let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Tecnico U. found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Tecnico U. went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tecnico U. VS LDU Quito
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tecnico U.

(Home)
16 Oct
Dep. Cuenca
2 : 1
Tecnico U.
10 Oct
Manta
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
20 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 1
Delfin
13 Sept
Leones del Norte
0 : 1
Tecnico U.
05 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 3
LDU Quito
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LDU Quito

(Away)
17 Oct
Aucas
1 : 1
LDU Quito
11 Oct
LDU Quito
2 : 1
Barcelona SC
20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1
U. Catolica
16 Sept
LDU Quito
3 : 3
Palmeiras
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)