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Tecnico U. vs Mushuc Runa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ibarra R.
Assist: Peralta K.
22'
Razzeto S.
26'
Sub
Delgado B. In: Morales A.
Out: Delgado B.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Tecnico U. and Mushuc Runa finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mushuc Runa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Tecnico U.
35%
Draws
28%
Mushuc Runa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tecnico U.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Mushuc Runa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Tecnico U. a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Tecnico U. Clean Sheet 18%
Mushuc Runa Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tecnico U. Mushuc Runa
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 1 9
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.86 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Mushuc Runa
0:3
Apr 18, 2026 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Tecnico U.
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Tecnico U.
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Mushuc Runa
0:0
Jul 27, 2025 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Tecnico U.
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tecnico U. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Mushuc Runa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibarra R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Angulo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tecnico U. 41 / 100
Mushuc Runa 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tecnico U. Mushuc Runa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mushuc Runa conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Tecnico U. scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Tecnico U. stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tecnico U. VS Mushuc Runa
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tecnico U.

(Home)
16 Oct
Dep. Cuenca
2 : 1
Tecnico U.
10 Oct
Manta
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
20 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 1
Delfin
13 Sept
Leones del Norte
0 : 1
Tecnico U.
05 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 3
LDU Quito
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Mushuc Runa

(Away)
09 Oct
Delfin
3 : 2
Mushuc Runa
20 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 1
Mushuc Runa
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1
Mushuc Runa
08 Sept
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1
Leones del Norte
02 Sept
LDU Quito
0 : 0
Mushuc Runa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)