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Tecos vs Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024
Tecos Logo

Tecos

2 - 0
FT
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Logo

Cimarrones de Sonora 2

Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Valdivia C.
70' Event
Lopez D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 game between Tecos and Cimarrones de Sonora 2 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tecos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Tecos
20%
Draws
56%
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cimarrones de Sonora 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tecos come out ahead of Cimarrones de Sonora 2 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cimarrones de Sonora 2 a 56% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Tecos have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Tecos Clean Sheet 19%
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tecos Cimarrones de Sonora 2
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 19 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.18 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Tecos vs Cimarrones de Sonora 2
2:0
Oct 30, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 vs Tecos
1:4
Feb 4, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 vs Tecos
0:1
Sep 17, 2022 Liga Premier Serie A
Tecos vs Cimarrones de Sonora 2
4:1
Mar 5, 2022 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 vs Tecos
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tecos Compare

Top Goalscorer Valdivia C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tecos 10 / 100
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tecos Cimarrones de Sonora 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tecos found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (38 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Tecos remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Cimarrones de Sonora 2 conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tecos VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tecos

(Home)
18 Apr
Tecos
0 : 0
Inter Playa Del Carmen
15 Apr
Inter Playa Del Carmen
2 : 0
Tecos
11 Apr
Colima FC
1 : 4
Tecos
27 Mar
Tecos
0 : 2
Leones Negros 2
22 Mar
Los Cabos United
0 : 0
Tecos
Page 1 of 8

Cimarrones de Sonora 2

(Away)
13 May
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
3 : 0
Mineros de Fresnillo
10 May
Mineros de Fresnillo
2 : 0
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
04 May
Leones Negros 2
0 : 1
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
02 May
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
1 : 0
Leones Negros 2
27 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
2 : 0
Mineros de Fresnillo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Los Cabos United 32 20 6 6 55:27 71
2 Alacranes de Durango 32 18 10 4 53:22 67
3 Gavilanes de Matamoros 32 16 7 9 46:33 57
4 Correcaminos 2 32 17 2 13 48:47 57
5 Tecos 32 15 6 11 54:36 53
6 Leones Negros 2 32 15 2 15 47:45 52
7 Cimarrones de Sonora 2 32 13 7 12 32:31 48
8 UA Zacatecas 32 14 8 10 46:38 47
9 CF Orgullo Reynosa 32 11 11 10 31:29 47
10 Tritones Vallarta 32 11 11 10 33:27 46
11 Saltillo 32 11 11 10 30:31 46
12 Apodaca 32 12 6 14 42:41 45
13 Mineros de Fresnillo 32 10 10 12 38:41 40
14 Calor De San Pedro 32 11 6 15 31:50 37
15 Dragones Toluca 32 8 5 19 22:56 29
16 Colima FC 32 7 3 22 31:62 25
17 Coras FC 32 6 3 23 25:48 21
18 Chihuahua F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 32 23 5 4 46:18 77
2 Jaiba Brava 32 19 6 7 59:29 67
3 Deportiva Venados 32 18 5 9 52:38 62
4 Irapuato 32 14 11 7 55:24 57
5 Aguacateros de Periban 32 16 6 10 56:37 57
6 Petroleros Salamanca 32 16 5 11 34:22 56
7 Inter Playa Del Carmen 32 14 10 8 39:29 56
8 Montaneses 32 16 5 11 47:42 56
9 Escorpiones 32 14 9 9 38:29 54
10 Reboceros de La Piedad 32 13 4 15 39:35 47
11 Cafetaleros de Chiapas 32 14 4 14 40:38 47
12 Pioneros 32 10 7 15 32:47 37
13 Lobos ULMX 32 9 5 18 29:47 34
14 Halcones de Zapopan 32 6 13 13 29:38 32
15 CS Canamy 32 9 3 20 40:58 29
16 San Juan de Aragon 32 7 2 23 30:62 25
17 Inter de Queretaro 32 3 2 27 18:90 10
18 Yalmakan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)