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Tecos vs Colima FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Tecos Logo

Tecos

3 - 1
FT
Colima FC Logo

Colima FC

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Esquivel K.
12' Event
Esquivel K.
26' Event
Fonseca B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Tecos and Colima FC finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tecos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Tecos
30%
Draws
31%
Colima FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tecos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Colima FC haven't matched Tecos's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tecos a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tecos here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tecos Clean Sheet 19%
Colima FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tecos Colima FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 1.77 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Colima FC vs Tecos
1:4
Nov 22, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Tecos vs Colima FC
3:1
Feb 17, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Colima FC vs Tecos
1:4
Sep 16, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Tecos vs Colima FC
2:0
Mar 24, 2022 Liga Premier Serie A
Colima FC vs Tecos
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tecos Compare

Top Goalscorer Esquivel K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fonseca B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Colima FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tecos 42 / 100
Colima FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tecos Colima FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Colima FC conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Tecos's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Tecos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tecos VS Colima FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tecos

(Home)
18 Apr
Tecos
0 : 0
Inter Playa Del Carmen
15 Apr
Inter Playa Del Carmen
2 : 0
Tecos
11 Apr
Colima FC
1 : 4
Tecos
27 Mar
Tecos
0 : 2
Leones Negros 2
22 Mar
Los Cabos United
0 : 0
Tecos
Page 1 of 6

Colima FC

(Away)
11 Apr
Colima FC
1 : 4
Tecos
05 Apr
Zapotlanejo
1 : 3
Colima FC
29 Mar
Guerreros de Autlan
2 : 0
Colima FC
21 Mar
Colima FC
0 : 0
Mineros de Fresnillo
14 Mar
Cimarrones de Sonora
2 : 0
Colima FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)