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Tecos vs Leones Negros 2

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
41' Event
63' Event
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Tecos and Leones Negros 2 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leones Negros 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Tecos
20%
Draws
51%
Leones Negros 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leones Negros 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Leones Negros 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tecos are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Leones Negros 2 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Tecos Clean Sheet 13%
Leones Negros 2 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tecos Leones Negros 2
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 18
Draws 6 2
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.77 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Tecos vs Leones Negros 2
0:2
Nov 15, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Leones Negros 2 vs Tecos
2:1
Feb 21, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Tecos vs Leones Negros 2
2:1
Oct 16, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Leones Negros 2 vs Tecos
2:1
Mar 2, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Leones Negros 2 vs Tecos
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tecos 39 / 100
Leones Negros 2 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tecos Leones Negros 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tecos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tecos's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Leones Negros 2 let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Tecos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tecos VS Leones Negros 2
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tecos

(Home)
18 Apr
Tecos
0 : 0
Inter Playa Del Carmen
15 Apr
Inter Playa Del Carmen
2 : 0
Tecos
11 Apr
Colima FC
1 : 4
Tecos
27 Mar
Tecos
0 : 2
Leones Negros 2
22 Mar
Los Cabos United
0 : 0
Tecos
Page 1 of 6

Leones Negros 2

(Away)
18 Apr
Leones Negros 2
1 : 2
Celaya
16 Apr
Celaya
5 : 0
Leones Negros 2
11 Apr
Leones Negros 2
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
27 Mar
Tecos
0 : 2
Leones Negros 2
21 Mar
Leones Negros 2
2 : 1
Guerreros de Autlan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)