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Tecos vs Tritones Vallarta

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Casillas J.
(Penalty)
84' Event
Reyes J.

AI Match Summary

Tecos in this Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tecos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Tecos
35%
Draws
19%
Tritones Vallarta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tecos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Tritones Vallarta haven't matched Tecos's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Tecos Clean Sheet 20%
Tritones Vallarta Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tecos Tritones Vallarta
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.77 1
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.65 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Tritones Vallarta vs Tecos
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Tecos vs Tritones Vallarta
2:0
Feb 7, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Tecos vs Tritones Vallarta
2:3
Oct 5, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Tritones Vallarta vs Tecos
1:1
Feb 23, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Tecos vs Tritones Vallarta
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tecos Compare

Top Goalscorer Reyes J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.5
Avg xA / game 0.33

Tritones Vallarta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tecos 31 / 100
Tritones Vallarta 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tecos Tritones Vallarta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tecos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tecos found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Tritones Vallarta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Tecos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tecos VS Tritones Vallarta
0.67 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
17% Over 2.5 0%
17% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tecos

(Home)
18 Apr
Tecos
0 : 0
Inter Playa Del Carmen
15 Apr
Inter Playa Del Carmen
2 : 0
Tecos
11 Apr
Colima FC
1 : 4
Tecos
27 Mar
Tecos
0 : 2
Leones Negros 2
22 Mar
Los Cabos United
0 : 0
Tecos
Page 1 of 6

Tritones Vallarta

(Away)
20 Sept
Los Cabos United
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
11 Sept
Tritones Vallarta
1 : 1
Zacatepec
28 Aug
Tritones Vallarta
0 : 1
Reboceros de La Piedad
25 Apr
Deportiva Venados
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
22 Apr
Tritones Vallarta
1 : 1
Deportiva Venados
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)