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Tefik Canga vs Suhareka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kosovo Kosovo

Liga e Pare
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tefik Canga host Suhareka in the Liga e Pare. Suhareka are expected to control this from the start. Suhareka have shipped 1.89 goals a game lately, while Tefik Canga have conceded 1.82 and scored 1.07. Past meetings favor Suhareka slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 6:3. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 2.38, favoring Suhareka. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Tefik Canga
35%
Draws
49%
Suhareka
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Suhareka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Suhareka carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Tefik Canga Clean Sheet 10%
Suhareka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tefik Canga Suhareka
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Liga e Pare
Suhareka vs Tefik Canga
6:3
Nov 16, 2025 Liga e Pare
Tefik Canga vs Suhareka
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tefik Canga 30 / 100
Suhareka 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tefik Canga Suhareka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suhareka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Suhareka conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Tefik Canga's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Tefik Canga stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tefik Canga VS Suhareka
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tefik Canga

(Home)
03 Oct
KF Lepenci
2 : 1
Tefik Canga
27 Sept
Tefik Canga
1 : 1
Kika
21 Sept
Trepca Mitrovice
1 : 0
Tefik Canga
11 Sept
Tefik Canga
0 : 1
Dinamo Ferizaj
06 Sept
Mitrovica
2 : 2
Tefik Canga
Page 1 of 6

Suhareka

(Away)
03 Oct
Kika
0 : 0
Suhareka
27 Sept
Suhareka
4 : 1
Trepca Mitrovice
19 Sept
Dinamo Ferizaj
3 : 1
Suhareka
11 Sept
Suhareka
1 : 1
Mitrovica
05 Sept
Ramiz Sadiku
2 : 2
Suhareka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Ferizaj 8 5 3 0 16:4 18
2 Liria 7 5 1 1 9:4 16
3 Prishtina e Re 8 5 0 3 14:10 15
4 Rilindja 8 4 2 2 11:8 14
5 Trepca 89 8 3 4 1 8:5 13
6 Suhareka 8 3 3 2 15:10 12
7 2 Korriku 8 3 2 3 6:5 11
8 Trepca Mitrovice 8 3 2 3 7:12 11
9 Ferizaj 8 2 4 2 9:5 10
10 Istogu 8 3 1 4 7:12 10
11 Vellaznimi 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
12 Vjosa 8 2 3 3 9:8 9
13 Kika 8 1 6 1 4:6 9
14 Ramiz Sadiku 8 1 5 2 9:11 8
15 Besa Peja 8 2 2 4 6:8 8
16 KF Lepenci 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Mitrovica 7 0 4 3 5:11 4
18 Tefik Canga 8 0 3 5 7:13 3
Promotion - Superliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga (Relegation)