Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Unilever Stadium Shintomi, Miyazaki

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

1 - 0

Kagoshima United

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Yamada Y.

55'

Sub

Kawamura K. In: Fujimura K.

Out: Kawamura K.

55'

Sub

Fukuda M. In: Endo M.

Out: Fukuda M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tegevajaro Miyazaki in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tegevajaro Miyazaki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

33%

Draws

40%

Kagoshima United

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Kagoshima United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Tegevajaro Miyazaki lately — more wins on the board than Kagoshima United.
Model gives Kagoshima United a 40% chance of winning this.
Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Clean Sheet 21%

Kagoshima United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	Kagoshima United
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	22	17
Draws	2	3
Losses	6	10
Goals Scored	1.5	1.5
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 J2/J3 League

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kagoshima United

1:0

Feb 8, 2026 J2/J3 League

Kagoshima United vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki

2:3

Dec 7, 2025 J3 League

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kagoshima United

2:0

Sep 20, 2025 J3 League

Kagoshima United vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki

2:0

Mar 30, 2025 J3 League

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kagoshima United

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Compare

Top Goalscorer Ano M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Kagoshima United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 29 / 100

Kagoshima United 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Kagoshima United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAG Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tegevajaro Miyazaki scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Kagoshima United has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tegevajaro Miyazaki VS Kagoshima United

1.5 Goals Scored 1.5

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13

50% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

(Home)

15 Jul

Yokohama F. Marinos

1 : 1

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

06 Jun

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

2 : 1

Kofu

30 May

Toyama

1 : 0

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

24 May

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

2 : 3

Reilac Shiga

17 May

Oita Trinita

1 : 2

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Page 1 of 6

Kagoshima United

(Away)

07 Jun

Blaublitz

0 : 2

Kagoshima United

30 May

Albirex Niigata

0 : 1

Kagoshima United

24 May

Giravanz Kitakyushu

1 : 5

Kagoshima United

17 May

Kagoshima United

2 : 1

Kumamoto

10 May

Reilac Shiga

1 : 0

Kagoshima United

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

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League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

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League Standings (Group 3)

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Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

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League Standings (Group 4)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15

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