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Teixeira de Freitas vs Itabuna

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
William
32' Event
Guilherme Rend
82' Event
William

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2025 game between Teixeira de Freitas and Itabuna finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itabuna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Teixeira de Freitas
20%
Draws
80%
Itabuna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Itabuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Itabuna come out ahead of Teixeira de Freitas on wins alone.
  • Model gives Itabuna a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Teixeira de Freitas Clean Sheet 10%
Itabuna Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Teixeira de Freitas Itabuna
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 14
Draws 6 9
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 0.62 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2025 Baiano 2
Teixeira de Freitas vs Itabuna
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Teixeira de Freitas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Itabuna Compare

Top Goalscorer William
2 Goals
Assists Leader Guilherme Rend
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Teixeira de Freitas 10 / 100
Itabuna 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Teixeira de Freitas Itabuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itabuna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Teixeira de Freitas's goal record stands at 34% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Itabuna conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Itabuna lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Teixeira de Freitas VS Itabuna
0 Goals Scored 2.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Teixeira de Freitas

(Home)
29 Jun
Teixeira de Freitas
0 : 3
Galicia
21 Jun
EC Ypiranga
3 : 0
Teixeira de Freitas
15 Jun
Leonico
3 : 0
Teixeira de Freitas
08 Jun
Teixeira de Freitas
0 : 3
Itabuna
31 May
Fluminense de Feira
2 : 0
Teixeira de Freitas
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Itabuna

(Away)
13 Jul
Itabuna
0 : 1
Galicia
06 Jul
Galicia
0 : 0
Itabuna
29 Jun
SSA
0 : 0
Itabuna
15 Jun
Itabuna
1 : 0
Bahia de Feira
08 Jun
Teixeira de Freitas
0 : 3
Itabuna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itabuna 9 7 2 0 20:7 23
2 Bahia de Feira 9 6 2 1 28:5 20
3 Fluminense de Feira 9 6 2 1 16:5 20
4 Galicia 9 4 3 2 20:9 15
5 EC Ypiranga 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
6 Vitoria da Conquista 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
7 SSA 9 2 4 3 10:8 10
8 Leonico 8 2 1 5 12:20 7
9 Grapiuna 9 0 1 8 4:31 1
10 Teixeira de Freitas 9 0 1 8 0:24 0
Promotion - Baiano 2 2025 (Play Offs)