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Telavi vs FC Gareji Sagarejo

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Kavkasioni Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Telavi play FC Gareji Sagarejo in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Telavi averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. FC Gareji Sagarejo averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. In past meetings, Telavi won 0, FC Gareji Sagarejo won 1, and they drew 4. Their last match on May 6, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Telavi and 1.13 for FC Gareji Sagarejo. This points to a FC Gareji Sagarejo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Telavi
35%
Draws
33%
FC Gareji Sagarejo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Gareji Sagarejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Telavi picked up more points recently compared to FC Gareji Sagarejo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Telavi Clean Sheet 21%
FC Gareji Sagarejo Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Telavi FC Gareji Sagarejo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.2 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Telavi
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Telavi vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
0:0
Nov 21, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Telavi
3:3
Sep 13, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Telavi vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
0:0
May 16, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Telavi
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Telavi 33 / 100
FC Gareji Sagarejo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Telavi FC Gareji Sagarejo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Gareji Sagarejo or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Telavi attacking → ← attacking FC Gareji Sagarejo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Telavi scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

FC Gareji Sagarejo let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Telavi went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

FC Gareji Sagarejo lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 49
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Gareji Sagarejo19116224:1239
2Telavi19105422:1535
3Merani Martvili1986523:2030
4Shturmi1969417:1427
5Dusheti1974818:2325
6Bolnisi1967625:2025
7Odishi 19191966723:2624
8Kolkheti 19131946924:2418
9Gori1937913:2416
10Samtredia19441125:3616