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Stadium Background

Telde vs Tamaraceite

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Baez J.
37'
Baez J.
37' Event
Ougri S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 game between Telde and Tamaraceite finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Telde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Telde
6%
Draws
90%
Tamaraceite
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tamaraceite

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Telde haven't matched Tamaraceite's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Tamaraceite's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Telde Clean Sheet 10%
Tamaraceite Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Telde Tamaraceite
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 18
Draws 9 4
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.86 2.38
Goals Conceded 2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Telde vs Tamaraceite
3:1
Nov 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs Telde
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Telde Compare

Top Goalscorer Ougri S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Flores Alvarado J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.43

Tamaraceite Compare

Top Goalscorer Salgado S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Telde 10 / 100
Tamaraceite 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Telde Tamaraceite

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Telde's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tamaraceite conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Telde went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Telde VS Tamaraceite
0.86 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Telde

(Home)
08 May
Telde
0 : 3
Villa Santa Brigida
03 May
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1
Telde
26 Apr
Telde
1 : 3
San Miguel
22 Apr
Herbania
1 : 1
Telde
19 Apr
Atletico Paso
1 : 1
Telde
Page 1 of 6

Tamaraceite

(Away)
21 Jun
Tamaraceite
2 : 0
Guijuelo
14 Jun
Guijuelo
2 : 1
Tamaraceite
07 Jun
UD San Fernando
1 : 1
Tamaraceite
30 May
Tamaraceite
3 : 0
UD San Fernando
24 May
Mensajero
1 : 0
Tamaraceite
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Paso341813351:1967
2UD San Fernando34199649:2366
3Mensajero34189751:3163
4Tamaraceite34196956:3663
5Panaderia341510947:3355
6Las Palmas C341591058:4254
7Tenerife C3414101049:4652
8Villa Santa Brigida341551442:3550
9Lanzarote3412121045:3648
10Real Union Tenerife341291334:3245
11San Miguel341091537:4339
12CD Marino348151144:4039
13Union Sur Yaiza341081633:4338
14San Bartolome348121430:5536
15Arucas347121531:4733
16Herbania347111639:5832
17SD Tenisca34672132:6825
18Telde345101930:7125
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)