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Telford vs Brackley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Yearn K.
55' Event
Tomlinson J.
90' Event
Stenson M.

AI Match Summary

Brackley in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brackley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Telford
30%
Draws
41%
Brackley
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brackley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Brackley haven't matched Telford's recent run of results.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Brackley here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Telford Clean Sheet 19%
Brackley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Telford Brackley
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.17 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 National League North
Telford vs Brackley
1:2
Apr 7, 2023 National League North
Brackley vs Telford
1:2
Sep 27, 2022 National League North
Telford vs Brackley
0:1
Mar 12, 2022 National League North
Brackley vs Telford
2:1
Sep 25, 2021 National League North
Telford vs Brackley
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Telford Compare

Top Goalscorer Stenson M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Brackley Compare

Top Goalscorer Yearn K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tomlinson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Telford 32 / 100
Brackley 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Telford Brackley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brackley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brackley let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Telford scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Telford has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Telford VS Brackley
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Telford

(Home)
26 Sept
Telford
0 : 5
King’s Lynn
22 Sept
Worksop
5 : 2
Telford
19 Sept
Telford
2 : 2
Worksop
12 Sept
Harborough
0 : 0
Telford
08 Sept
Telford
1 : 0
Oxford City
Page 1 of 6

Brackley

(Away)
03 Oct
Brackley
0 : 2
Chelmsford
29 Sept
Brackley
3 : 2
South Shields
26 Sept
Brackley
1 : 1
Scarborough Athletic
19 Sept
Brackley
1 : 0
Portchester
12 Sept
Morecambe
3 : 0
Brackley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 10 7 2 1 22:5 23
2 Macclesfield 10 6 3 1 13:6 21
3 Oxford City 10 6 2 2 18:7 20
4 South Shields 10 6 2 2 15:13 20
5 Hebburn Town 10 5 3 2 16:16 18
6 Spalding United 10 5 2 3 14:8 17
7 Chester 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
8 King’s Lynn 10 5 1 4 20:15 16
9 Buxton 10 5 1 4 18:18 16
10 Bedford 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
11 Morecambe 10 4 2 4 14:9 14
12 Chorley 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
13 Merthyr Town 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
14 Scarborough Athletic 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
15 Hednesford 10 3 3 4 17:17 12
16 Marine 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
17 Harborough 10 3 3 4 10:12 12
18 Worksop 10 4 0 6 10:16 12
19 Brackley 10 3 3 4 11:19 12
20 Southport 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
21 Telford 10 2 3 5 8:15 9
22 Darlington FC 10 2 1 7 12:21 7
23 Spennymoor 10 1 4 5 11:21 7
24 Radcliffe 10 2 0 8 9:20 6
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Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)