Sport Picks
Telford vs Hednesford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League North 
Match Events
65'
65'
Stenson M.
74'
74'
Curran-Nichols J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hednesford
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Hednesford lately — more wins on the board than Telford.
- Win probability leans Hednesford's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Telford Clean Sheet 12%
Hednesford Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Telford | Hednesford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 National League North
Telford vs Hednesford
1:1
Jul 29, 2025 Club Friendly
Telford vs Hednesford
1:2
Jan 26, 2016 National League North
Telford vs Hednesford
1:3
Dec 26, 2015 National League North
Hednesford vs Telford
2:0
Jan 1, 2014 National League North
Hednesford vs Telford
3:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Telford Compare
Top Goalscorer Stenson M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Hednesford Compare
Top Goalscorer Curran-Nichols J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Telford 10 / 100
Hednesford 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Telford Hednesford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hednesford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Telford's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Hednesford has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Telford went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Telford VS Hednesford
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Telford
(Home) 17 Oct
Telford
2 : 1 Darlington FC
10 Oct
Chorley
2 : 1 Telford
26 Sept
Telford
0 : 5 King’s Lynn
22 Sept
Worksop
5 : 2 Telford
19 Sept
Telford
2 : 2 Worksop
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Telford
2 : 1 Darlington FC
26 Sept
Telford
0 : 5 King’s Lynn
19 Sept
Telford
2 : 2 Worksop
08 Sept
Telford
1 : 0 Oxford City
31 Aug
Telford
0 : 1 Bedford
Page 1 of 4
Hednesford
(Away) 17 Oct
Hednesford
3 : 2 Brackley
10 Oct
Hereford
0 : 1 Hednesford
26 Sept
Hednesford
4 : 1 Radcliffe
19 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1 Coventry United
12 Sept
Hebburn Town
2 : 1 Hednesford
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Hereford
0 : 1 Hednesford
12 Sept
Hebburn Town
2 : 1 Hednesford
08 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 3 Hednesford
31 Aug
Spennymoor
1 : 1 Hednesford
22 Aug
Telford
1 : 1 Hednesford
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Macclesfield | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 17:9 | 24 |
| 2 | Hereford | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22:6 | 23 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21:7 | 23 |
| 4 | King’s Lynn | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:16 | 20 |
| 5 | Chester | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 20 |
| 6 | South Shields | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:17 | 20 |
| 7 | Hednesford | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21:19 | 18 |
| 8 | Hebburn Town | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:21 | 18 |
| 9 | Spalding United | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 17 |
| 10 | Chorley | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 11 | Buxton | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:21 | 17 |
| 12 | Bedford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Worksop | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:19 | 16 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18:16 | 15 |
| 15 | Merthyr Town | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:13 | 15 |
| 16 | Marine | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 17 | Harborough | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 15 |
| 18 | Brackley | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:23 | 15 |
| 19 | Morecambe | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 20 | Radcliffe | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 15:21 | 12 |
| 21 | Telford | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:18 | 12 |
| 22 | Southport | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:23 | 9 |
| 23 | Darlington FC | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14:24 | 8 |
| 24 | Spennymoor | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12:23 | 7 |
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