Sport Picks
Telford vs Hednesford
England
National League North New Bucks Head, Telford 
Match Events
65'
65'
Stenson M.
74'
74'
Curran-Nichols J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Hednesford lately — more wins on the board than Telford.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Telford Clean Sheet 11%
Hednesford Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Telford | Hednesford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 National League North
Telford vs Hednesford
1:1
Jul 29, 2025 Club Friendly
Telford vs Hednesford
1:2
Jan 26, 2016 National League North
Telford vs Hednesford
1:3
Dec 26, 2015 National League North
Hednesford vs Telford
2:0
Jan 1, 2014 National League North
Hednesford vs Telford
3:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Telford Compare
Top Goalscorer Stenson M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Hednesford Compare
Top Goalscorer Curran-Nichols J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Telford 35 / 100
Hednesford 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Telford Hednesford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hednesford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Telford scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Hednesford has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Hednesford lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Telford VS Hednesford
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Telford
(Home) 18 Aug
Merthyr Town
2 : 2 Telford
15 Aug
Worksop
2 : 1 Telford
08 Aug
Telford
1 : 2 Brackley
01 Aug
Telford
1 : 3 Tamworth
25 Jul
Telford
1 : 0 Walsall
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Telford
1 : 2 Brackley
01 Aug
Telford
1 : 3 Tamworth
25 Jul
Telford
1 : 0 Walsall
21 Jul
Telford
0 : 3 Crewe
18 Apr
Telford
1 : 1 Darlington FC
Page 1 of 4
Hednesford
(Away) 18 Aug
Hednesford
2 : 2 Southport
15 Aug
Hednesford
3 : 4 Scarborough Athletic
08 Aug
Merthyr Town
2 : 0 Hednesford
01 Aug
Hednesford
2 : 0 Boston United
18 Jul
Hednesford
1 : 2 Solihull Moors
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Merthyr Town
2 : 0 Hednesford
18 Apr
Cleethorpes
0 : 1 Hednesford
06 Apr
United of Manchester
1 : 2 Hednesford
28 Mar
Workington
3 : 0 Hednesford
21 Mar
Stocksbridge
1 : 1 Hednesford
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chester | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 2 | South Shields | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 3 | Hebburn Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 5 | Oxford City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 6 | Scarborough Athletic | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 7 | Hereford | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 8 | Worksop | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 9 | Harborough | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 10 | Merthyr Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 11 | Spalding United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 12 | Buxton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 13 | King’s Lynn | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 14 | Brackley | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 15 | Spennymoor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Chorley | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 17 | Darlington FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 18 | Bedford | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 19 | Southport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | 2 |
| 20 | Telford | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 1 |
| 21 | Morecambe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 22 | Hednesford | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | 1 |
| 23 | Marine | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | 0 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
