Sport Picks

England

FA Cup 2009/2010

Telford

4 - 1

Hereford Pegasus

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Telford in this FA Cup 2009/2010 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%

Telford

35%

Draws

13%

Hereford Pegasus

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Telford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Telford lately — more wins on the board than Hereford Pegasus.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Telford have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Telford, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

Telford Clean Sheet 16%

Hereford Pegasus Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Telford	Hereford Pegasus
Matches Played	30	6
Wins	8	1
Draws	9	2
Losses	13	3
Goals Scored	1.33	1.17
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2009 FA Cup

Telford vs Hereford Pegasus

4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Telford 30 / 100

Hereford Pegasus 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Telford Hereford Pegasus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Telford Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Telford found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Hereford Pegasus let in goals in 83% of their last 6 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Telford remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Telford VS Hereford Pegasus

1 Goals Scored 1

1.88 Goals Conceded 1

88% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Telford

(Home)

22 Sept

Worksop

5 : 2

Telford

19 Sept

Telford

2 : 2

Worksop

12 Sept

Harborough

0 : 0

Telford

08 Sept

Telford

1 : 0

Oxford City

05 Sept

Scarborough Athletic

0 : 1

Telford

Page 1 of 6

Hereford Pegasus

(Away)

11 Jul

Hereford Pegasus

1 : 1

Hereford

23 Jul

Hereford Pegasus

0 : 1

Barry Town

19 Aug

Hereford Pegasus

1 : 2

Sporting Khalsa

16 Aug

Sporting Khalsa

0 : 0

Hereford Pegasus

26 Sept

Telford

4 : 1

Hereford Pegasus

Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Hinckley -

TBD -

St Ives Town 1

Kirkley & Pakefield 2

Northampton Spencer 2

Godmanchester Rovers 1

Daventry 0

Cambridge City 2

TBD -

Histon -

Nuneaton 5

Brigg Town 0

Glapwell 0

Carlton Town 1

Market Drayton 2

Leamington 0

TBD -

Gainsborough -

Guiseley 2

Whitley Bay 0

Maine Road 1

Bamber Bridge 4

Ossett Town 1

Morpeth 0

FC Guisborough Town 1

Kendal 9

Halifax 4

Ancients 0

TBD -

Droylsden -

Horden 5

Durham 3

Hallam 0

Burscough 4

TBD -

Wrexham -

Gateshead -

TBD -

Alfreton -

TBD -

Kidsgrove Athletic 2

Wulfrunians 3

Spennymoor 6

Ryton & Crawcrook 0

TBD -

Southport -

Workington -

TBD -

St Helens Town 1

Cammell Laird 3

Warrington Town 1

Nantwich 0

Woodley 0

Radcliffe 1

TBD -

Rushden -

Mansfield -

TBD -

Altrincham -

Buxton 2

Winterton Rangers 1

Rossendale United 1

AFC Fylde 4

Harrogate -

TBD -

Bishop Auckland 1

Bradford PA 4

Hucknall 4

Blackstones 2

Dudley Sports 0

Rugby 6

Evesham 2

Tividale 1

Bromsgrove Rovers (inactive) 2

Stourbridge 4

Blyth Spartans -

TBD -

Newcastle Blue Star -

Ossett Albion -

Hyde -

TBD -

Marine 1

Salford 2

Worcester -

TBD -

Boston Town 1

Bourne 3

Hereford Pegasus 4

Hednesford 1

TBD -

Telford -

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) -

TBD -

Long Buckby 4

Mildenhall 5

Corby -

TBD -

Eastwood -

TBD -

Tamworth -

Lincoln Utd. 3

Retford United 2

Garforth 0

Roofing 1

FC Congleton Town 6

Atherton Rovers 1

Worksop 2

Frickley 3

TBD -

Cambridge Utd -

Kettering -

TBD -

Solihull Moors -

TBD -

Quorn 0

Mickleover 2

Stratford 1

Cradley Town 0

TBD -

Redditch -

Northwich Victoria -

TBD -

Barton Town 0

Bardon Hill Sports 5

Ashton United 3

Lancaster 0

Glossop North End 2

Chorley 3

Stalybridge -

TBD -

Clitheroe 0

Stocksbridge 2

North Ferriby United 2

Harrogate Railway 0

Sheffield FC 1

United of Manchester 3

Barrow -

TBD -

Chester City -

Kidderminster -

TBD -

Vauxhall -

TBD -

Bridlington Town 0

Whitby 1

Farsley -

TBD -

Fleetwood Town -

York City -

TBD -

Coventry Sphinx 1

Rushall 0

TBD -

Stafford -

Rainworth 2

Holbrook 1

Causeway United 0

Bedworth United 3

Hendon 2

Marlow 0

Bognor Regis 1

Kingstonian 4

Badshot Lea 6

Lingfield 5

Crawley Down Gatwick 2

Ashford Town 3

Maidstone 2

Bedfont Sports 1

Maldon & Tiptree 1

Harefield United 3

Hythe 2

Faversham 1

TBD -

Woking -

Gloucester City -

TBD -

Molesey 2

Bashley 3

Hungerford 4

Bristol Manor Farm 0

TBD -

Dorchester -

Sutton Coldfield Town 6

Westfields 0

Sudbury 0

Needham Market 2

Boston United 4

Loughborough Dynamo 2

Dereham 1

Lowestoft 3

Farnborough 2

Hastings 1

Thamesmead 1

Windsor & Eton 2

St. Albans -

TBD -

Stanway Rovers 1

Heybridge 2

TBD -

Salisbury -

Mangotsfield 3

Wantage 0

Saltash United 10

Gillingham Town 12

Maidenhead -

TBD -

Bridport 1

Truro 8

TBD -

Forest Green -

Crawley Town -

TBD -

AFC Wimbledon -

Oxford City 4

Kidlington 2

Dulwich Hamlet 0

Sholing 1

Abingdon 3

Highworth 0

North Leigh 1

Cirencester 2

Bedford 5

London Tigers 1

Castle Vale 1

Romulus 2

Matlock 3

Sleaford Town 2

King’s Lynn 0

Bury Town 2

Bromley -

TBD -

Royston Town 1

Flackwell Heath 2

Horsham FC -

Tooting & Mitcham -

Metropolitan Police 0

Tonbridge 1

TBD -

Ebbsfleet -

Chelmsford -

TBD -

Halstead Town 4

Enfield FC 5

Worthing FC 1

Croydon Athletic 0

Chipstead 1

Dartford 6

TBD -

Stevenage -

Aylesbury Vale 5

Erith Town 4

Northwood 2

Wingate & Finchley 6

Billericay 3

Hornchurch 0

Harrow Borough 1

Chesham 3

Lewes -

TBD -

Ashford United 0

Leatherhead 2

Boreham Wood 1

Walthamstow FC 0

Arlesey 1

Wealdstone 2

Dover Ath. -

TBD -

Guildford City 6

East Preston 7

East Thurrock Utd 4

Ware 1

TBD -

Welling -

Basingstoke -

TBD -

Swindon Supermarine 0

Brackley 1

Witney Utd 5

Shortwood 4

TBD -

Eastleigh -

Hayes & Yeading -

TBD -

Walton Casuals 4

Chatham 2

Deal Town 1

Selsey 4

Sittingbourne 1

Folkestone 0

TBD -

Staines -

Luton -

TBD -

Grays -

Oxford Utd -

TBD -

Potters 4

Aylesbury United 0

Carshalton 1

Whitstable Town 2

Stortford -

TBD -

Thurrock -

Bath City -

TBD -

Poole Town 0

Willand Rovers 1

Weymouth -

TBD -

Brockenhurst 2

Bishops Cleeve 5

Bridgwater United 3

Hamworthy United 1

Brading Town 1

Hallen 4

Almondsbury Town 4

Yate 2

VCD Athletic 0

AFC Totton 5

Paulton Rovers 1

Tiverton 0

Shrivenham 0

Didcot 5

Clevedon 4

Wimborne 2

TBD -

Newport -

Havant & Waterlooville -

TBD -

Weston-super-Mare -

Merthyr Tydfil 3

Taunton Town 0

Banbury 2

Chippenham Town 3

Tooting & Mitcham 4

Horsham FC 2

Hitchin 3

Canvey Island 4

Concord Rangers 12

Romford 0

Hemel Hempstead 2

Slough Town 3

TBD -

Eastbourne Borough -

Hampton & Richmond -

TBD -

Braintree -

Burnham FC 2

Thame United 0

London Colney 4

Aveley 8

Walton & Hersham 2

Cray Wanderers 1

Waltham Abbey 0

Enfield Town 1

Uxbridge 4

Ash United 3

Margate 4

Sutton 5

Quarter-finals

Hinckley 2

Kirkley & Pakefield 1

Northampton Spencer 1

Cambridge City 4

TBD -

Histon -

Nuneaton 4

Carlton Town 1

Market Drayton 1

Gainsborough 2

Guiseley 2

Bamber Bridge 0

Ossett Town 0

Kendal 2

Halifax 2

Droylsden 0

Horden 1

Burscough 4

TBD -

Wrexham -

Gateshead -

TBD -

Alfreton 6

Wulfrunians 0

Spennymoor 1

Southport 3

Workington 4

Cammell Laird 1

Warrington Town 2

Radcliffe 4

TBD -

Rushden -

Mansfield -

TBD -

Altrincham -

Buxton 5

AFC Fylde 0

Harrogate 0

Bradford PA 4

Hucknall 3

Rugby 1

Evesham 0

Stourbridge 1

Blyth Spartans 7

Ossett Albion 1

Hyde 2

Salford 3

Worcester 3

Bourne 0

Hereford Pegasus 1

Telford 4

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 4

Mildenhall 1

Corby 1

Eastwood 2

TBD -

Tamworth -

Lincoln Utd. 2

Roofing 1

FC Congleton Town 0

Frickley 1

TBD -

Cambridge Utd -

Kettering -

TBD -

Solihull Moors 4

Mickleover 3

Stratford 1

Redditch 3

Northwich Victoria 8

Bardon Hill Sports 0

Ashton United 1

Chorley 2

Stalybridge 7

Stocksbridge 2

North Ferriby United 0

United of Manchester 1

Barrow -

TBD -

Chester City -

Kidderminster -

TBD -

Vauxhall 5

Whitby 0

Farsley 1

Fleetwood Town 3

York City -

TBD -

Coventry Sphinx 5

Stafford 4

Rainworth 1

Bedworth United 2

Hendon 2

Kingstonian 1

Badshot Lea 0

Ashford Town 10

Maidstone 2

Harefield United 0

Hythe 3

Woking 7

Gloucester City 2

Bashley 1

Hungerford 0

Dorchester 4

Sutton Coldfield Town 3

Needham Market 1

Boston United 0

Lowestoft 1

Farnborough 1

Windsor & Eton 0

St. Albans 0

Heybridge 1

TBD -

Salisbury -

Mangotsfield 6

Gillingham Town 3

Maidenhead 2

Truro 5

TBD -

Forest Green -

Crawley Town -

TBD -

AFC Wimbledon -

Oxford City 1

Sholing 0

Abingdon 1

Cirencester 3

Bedford 2

Romulus 1

Matlock 2

Bury Town 4

Bromley 2

Flackwell Heath 0

Horsham FC 0

Tonbridge 4

TBD -

Ebbsfleet -

Chelmsford 5

Enfield FC 0

Worthing FC 1

Dartford 2

TBD -

Stevenage -

Aylesbury Vale 4

Wingate & Finchley 3

Billericay 2

Chesham 4

Lewes 2

Leatherhead 1

Boreham Wood 2

Wealdstone 4

Dover Ath. 8

East Preston 0

East Thurrock Utd 0

Welling 2

Basingstoke 1

Brackley 0

Witney Utd 1

Eastleigh 6

Hayes & Yeading -

TBD -

Walton Casuals 1

Selsey 0

Sittingbourne 2

Staines 3

Luton -

TBD -

Grays -

Oxford Utd -

TBD -

Potters 3

Whitstable Town 0

Stortford 2

Thurrock 3

Bath City 5

Willand Rovers 0

Weymouth 0

Bishops Cleeve 3

Bridgwater United 1

Hallen 0

Almondsbury Town 1

AFC Totton 4

Paulton Rovers 2

Didcot 0

Clevedon 1

Newport 3

Havant & Waterlooville 1

Weston-super-Mare 0

Merthyr Tydfil 1

Chippenham Town 4

Tooting & Mitcham 2

Canvey Island 0

Concord Rangers 0

Slough Town 2

TBD -

Eastbourne Borough -

Hampton & Richmond 4

Braintree 1

Burnham FC 2

Aveley 4

Walton & Hersham 3

Enfield Town 2

Uxbridge 0

Sutton 3

Semi-finals

Hinckley 5

Cambridge City 0

TBD -

Histon -

Nuneaton 1

Gainsborough 0

Guiseley 1

Kendal 2

Halifax 1

Burscough 0

TBD -

Wrexham -

Gateshead -

TBD -

Alfreton 3

Southport 4

Workington 3

Radcliffe 0

TBD -

Rushden -

Mansfield -

TBD -

Altrincham -

Buxton 3

Bradford PA 2

Hucknall 1

Stourbridge 6

Blyth Spartans 4

Salford 3

Worcester 0

Telford 1

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 4

Eastwood 2

TBD -

Tamworth -

Lincoln Utd. 3

Frickley 2

TBD -

Cambridge Utd -

Kettering -

TBD -

Solihull Moors 0

Redditch 2

Northwich Victoria 4

Chorley 1

Stalybridge 3

United of Manchester 4

Barrow -

TBD -

Chester City -

Kidderminster -

TBD -

Vauxhall 2

Fleetwood Town 3

York City -

TBD -

Coventry Sphinx 0

Bedworth United 1

Hendon 3

Ashford Town 2

Maidstone 0

Woking 2

Gloucester City 2

Dorchester 1

Sutton Coldfield Town 1

Lowestoft 2

Farnborough 3

Heybridge 0

TBD -

Salisbury -

Mangotsfield 3

Truro 2

TBD -

Forest Green -

Crawley Town -

TBD -

AFC Wimbledon -

Oxford City 2

Cirencester 0

Bedford 4

Bury Town 5

Bromley 2

Tonbridge 0

TBD -

Ebbsfleet -

Chelmsford 4

Dartford 1

TBD -

Stevenage -

Aylesbury Vale 4

Chesham 3

Lewes 0

Wealdstone 3

Dover Ath. 2

Welling 0

Basingstoke 0

Eastleigh 2

Hayes & Yeading -

TBD -

Walton Casuals 0

Staines 3

Luton -

TBD -

Grays -

Oxford Utd -

TBD -

Potters 2

Thurrock 4

Bath City 4

Bishops Cleeve 1

Bridgwater United 2

AFC Totton 3

Paulton Rovers 1

Newport 0

Havant & Waterlooville 1

Chippenham Town 2

Tooting & Mitcham 3

Slough Town 2

TBD -

Eastbourne Borough -

Hampton & Richmond 3

Aveley 2

Walton & Hersham 0

Sutton 1

Stage 5

TBD -

Stage 4

TBD -

Stage 3

TBD -

Stage 2

TBD -

Stage 1

TBD -

Final

Hinckley 2

Histon 1

Nuneaton 1

Kendal 0

Halifax 0

Wrexham 1

Gateshead 3

Southport 0

Workington 0

Rushden 3

Mansfield 3

Altrincham 0

Buxton 0

Stourbridge 4

Blyth Spartans 0

Telford 4

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 2

Tamworth 0

Lincoln Utd. 1

Cambridge Utd 3

Kettering 2

Redditch 1

Northwich Victoria 3

United of Manchester 0

Barrow 5

Chester City 1

Kidderminster 1

Fleetwood Town 3

York City 2

Bedworth United 0

Hendon 0

Woking 5

Gloucester City 3

Lowestoft 5

Farnborough 2

Salisbury 4

Mangotsfield 1

Forest Green 2

Crawley Town 2

AFC Wimbledon 4

Oxford City 2

Bury Town 1

Bromley 3

Ebbsfleet 0

Chelmsford 1

Stevenage 2

Aylesbury Vale 2

Wealdstone 4

Dover Ath. 3

Eastleigh 5

Hayes & Yeading 0

Staines 1

Luton 3

Grays 0

Oxford Utd 2

Thurrock 0

Bath City 3

AFC Totton 2

Paulton Rovers 3

Chippenham Town 0

Tooting & Mitcham 7

Eastbourne Borough 6

Hampton & Richmond 1

Sutton 3

Telford vs Hereford Pegasus

England

Telford

Hereford Pegasus

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Telford

Hereford Pegasus

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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