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Telford vs Spalding United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Telford host Spalding United in the National League North. This one's hard to separate. Telford have averaged 1.14 scored and 1.69 conceded recently, against Spalding United's 1.66 scored and 1.34 conceded. Head-to-head, Telford have won 1 to Spalding United's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.81, favoring Spalding United. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Telford
30%
Draws
16%
Spalding United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Telford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Spalding United have won more games recently than Telford.
  • Model gives Telford a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Telford Clean Sheet 11%
Spalding United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Telford Spalding United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.14 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Telford vs Spalding United
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Spalding United vs Telford
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Telford 47 / 100
Spalding United 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Telford Spalding United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Telford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Telford scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Spalding United has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Telford stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Telford VS Spalding United
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Telford

(Home)
27 Oct
Hereford
0 : 1
Telford
24 Oct
Telford
2 : 2
Hebburn Town
17 Oct
Telford
2 : 1
Darlington FC
10 Oct
Chorley
2 : 1
Telford
26 Sept
Telford
0 : 5
King’s Lynn
Page 1 of 6

Spalding United

(Away)
27 Oct
Spalding United
2 : 2
Brackley
24 Oct
Hednesford
2 : 0
Spalding United
20 Oct
Alvechurch
4 : 0
Spalding United
17 Oct
Spalding United
2 : 2
Alvechurch
10 Oct
Marine
1 : 0
Spalding United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oxford City 13 8 3 2 25:8 27
2 Hereford 13 8 2 3 24:8 26
3 South Shields 13 8 2 3 22:18 26
4 Macclesfield 12 7 3 2 18:11 24
5 Chester 13 7 2 4 17:13 23
6 Buxton 14 7 2 5 26:23 23
7 Bedford 13 7 1 5 17:16 22
8 Hednesford 14 6 3 5 23:20 21
9 King’s Lynn 14 6 3 5 22:21 21
10 Morecambe 13 6 2 5 19:12 20
11 Chorley 13 6 2 5 23:21 20
12 Worksop 14 6 2 6 20:20 20
13 Hebburn Town 13 5 4 4 18:23 19
14 Spalding United 13 5 3 5 16:13 18
15 Marine 13 5 1 7 15:15 16
16 Harborough 13 4 4 5 12:16 16
17 Telford 14 4 4 6 14:20 16
18 Brackley 14 4 4 6 17:26 16
19 Scarborough Athletic 13 4 3 6 19:18 15
20 Merthyr Town 14 3 6 5 15:19 15
21 Radcliffe 14 5 0 9 16:24 15
22 Darlington FC 14 3 2 9 17:25 11
23 Southport 13 2 4 7 13:23 10
24 Spennymoor 13 1 4 8 12:27 7
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)