Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Telstar W vs AZ Alkmaar W Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 BUKO Stadion, Velsen-Zuid
Sat, Feb 14, 2026
VS
03:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Telstar W host AZ Alkmaar W in the Eredivisie Women 2025/2026. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Telstar W at 1.38 goals for, 2.5 against; AZ Alkmaar W at 1.76 for, 2.14 against. Past meetings favor AZ Alkmaar W slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.54 - 1.11) back AZ Alkmaar W to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Telstar W
15%
Draws
51%
AZ Alkmaar W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AZ Alkmaar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • AZ Alkmaar W have won more games recently than Telstar W.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Telstar W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Telstar W Clean Sheet 20%
AZ Alkmaar W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Telstar W AZ Alkmaar W
Matches Played 8 29
Wins 2 11
Draws 1 6
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Telstar W vs AZ Alkmaar W
0:0
Sep 7, 2025 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs Telstar W
0:0
Mar 12, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Telstar W vs AZ Alkmaar W
4:5
Nov 3, 2024 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs Telstar W
0:1
May 1, 2024 Eredivisie Women
Telstar W vs AZ Alkmaar W
2:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Telstar W 67 / 100
AZ Alkmaar W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Telstar W AZ Alkmaar W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Telstar W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AZ Alkmaar W has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Telstar W scored in 75% of their last 8 games.

Solid form: Telstar W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Telstar W VS AZ Alkmaar W
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Telstar W

(Home)
23 Aug
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 1
Telstar W
17 May
Telstar W
2 : 0
Heerenveen W
03 May
Ajax W
3 : 1
Telstar W
19 Apr
Sittard W
5 : 0
Telstar W
30 Mar
Telstar W
0 : 1
Utrecht W
Page 1 of 2

AZ Alkmaar W

(Away)
27 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
0 : 5
Twente W
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
13 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
3 : 1
PSV W
06 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
Utrecht W
22 Aug
Feyenoord W
1 : 2
AZ Alkmaar W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV W 22 17 3 2 56:15 54
2 Ajax W 22 15 5 2 55:18 50
3 Feyenoord W 22 14 5 3 45:17 47
4 Twente W 22 14 4 4 55:19 46
5 Utrecht W 22 11 4 7 41:37 37
6 PEC Zwolle W 22 11 1 10 35:32 34
7 Heerenveen W 22 8 2 12 38:51 26
8 AZ Alkmaar W 22 6 6 10 36:46 24
9 Den Haag W 22 6 4 12 24:45 22
10 Hera United W 22 5 5 12 24:42 20
11 SBV Excelsior W 22 2 2 18 18:51 8
12 NAC Breda W 22 2 1 19 17:71 7
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)