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Telstar W vs Heerenveen W Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 BUKO Stadion, Velsen-Zuid
Sat, Apr 4, 2026
VS
02:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Telstar W host Heerenveen W in the Eredivisie Women 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Telstar W at 1.38 goals for, 2.5 against; Heerenveen W at 1.75 for, 2.32 against. Past meetings favor Telstar W slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.42 - 1.24) back Heerenveen W to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Telstar W
20%
Draws
46%
Heerenveen W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Heerenveen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Heerenveen W have won more games recently than Telstar W.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Telstar W Clean Sheet 19%
Heerenveen W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Telstar W Heerenveen W
Matches Played 8 28
Wins 2 10
Draws 1 3
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Telstar W vs Heerenveen W
0:0
Oct 12, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Heerenveen W vs Telstar W
0:0
May 17, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Telstar W vs Heerenveen W
2:0
Nov 17, 2024 Eredivisie Women
Heerenveen W vs Telstar W
3:1
Mar 3, 2024 Eredivisie Women
Telstar W vs Heerenveen W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Telstar W 31 / 100
Heerenveen W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Telstar W Heerenveen W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Telstar W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heerenveen W has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: Telstar W scored in 75% of their last 8 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Telstar W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Telstar W VS Heerenveen W
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Telstar W

(Home)
23 Aug
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 1
Telstar W
17 May
Telstar W
2 : 0
Heerenveen W
03 May
Ajax W
3 : 1
Telstar W
19 Apr
Sittard W
5 : 0
Telstar W
30 Mar
Telstar W
0 : 1
Utrecht W
Page 1 of 2

Heerenveen W

(Away)
04 Oct
PEC Zwolle W
2 : 2
Heerenveen W
27 Sept
Heerenveen W
2 : 0
Utrecht W
20 Sept
Den Haag W
2 : 2
Heerenveen W
13 Sept
Heerenveen W
3 : 1
Ajax W
06 Sept
Twente W
5 : 1
Heerenveen W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV W 22 17 3 2 56:15 54
2 Ajax W 22 15 5 2 55:18 50
3 Feyenoord W 22 14 5 3 45:17 47
4 Twente W 22 14 4 4 55:19 46
5 Utrecht W 22 11 4 7 41:37 37
6 PEC Zwolle W 22 11 1 10 35:32 34
7 Heerenveen W 22 8 2 12 38:51 26
8 AZ Alkmaar W 22 6 6 10 36:46 24
9 Den Haag W 22 6 4 12 24:45 22
10 Hera United W 22 5 5 12 24:42 20
11 SBV Excelsior W 22 2 2 18 18:51 8
12 NAC Breda W 22 2 1 19 17:71 7
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)