Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tenerife vs Almeria

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López, Santa Cruz de Tenerife
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Alvarez J.
32' Event
Gallego E.
Assist: Gil N.
46'
Sub
Sola A. In: Cipenga B.
Out: Sola A.

AI Match Summary

Tenerife in this LaLiga2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tenerife.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Tenerife
20%
Draws
51%
Almeria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Almeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Almeria have won more games recently than Tenerife.
  • Model gives Almeria a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Almeria have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Tenerife Clean Sheet 17%
Almeria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tenerife Almeria
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 10 3
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.47 1.69
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 LaLiga2
Tenerife vs Almeria
1:0
Jun 1, 2025 LaLiga2
Almeria vs Tenerife
2:0
Aug 24, 2024 LaLiga2
Tenerife vs Almeria
0:1
Mar 21, 2022 LaLiga2
Tenerife vs Almeria
0:1
Sep 24, 2021 LaLiga2
Almeria vs Tenerife
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tenerife Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallego E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Almeria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tenerife 20 / 100
Almeria 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tenerife Almeria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almeria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tenerife's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Almeria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Tenerife stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tenerife VS Almeria
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tenerife

(Home)
26 Sept
Tenerife
1 : 1
Cadiz
19 Sept
Castellon
5 : 0
Tenerife
13 Sept
Tenerife
2 : 0
Leganes
05 Sept
Real Sociedad B
1 : 1
Tenerife
28 Aug
Tenerife
0 : 1
Gijon
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Almeria

(Away)
20 Sept
Almeria
2 : 0
Celta Vigo B
12 Sept
Cordoba
0 : 2
Almeria
06 Sept
Almeria
3 : 2
Cadiz
29 Aug
Sabadell
1 : 0
Almeria
23 Aug
Tenerife
1 : 0
Almeria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon 6 5 1 0 12:2 16
2 Eibar 6 5 0 1 12:4 15
3 Girona 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
4 Mallorca 6 4 1 1 8:2 13
5 Almeria 6 4 0 2 10:4 12
6 Sabadell 7 3 3 1 8:6 12
7 Burgos CF 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
8 Leganes 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
9 Tenerife 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
10 Gijon 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
11 Las Palmas 6 3 1 2 8:8 10
12 Real Oviedo 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
13 Granada CF 7 2 2 3 10:11 8
14 Real Sociedad B 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
15 Celta Vigo B 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
16 FC Andorra 7 2 0 5 12:15 6
17 Cordoba 6 2 0 4 9:13 6
18 Eldense 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
19 Valladolid 6 1 2 3 3:8 5
20 Cadiz 7 0 4 3 7:10 4
21 AD Ceuta 7 1 1 5 6:17 4
22 Albacete 7 0 1 6 4:12 1
Promotion - LaLiga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs)