Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tenhults vs Varbergs GIF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tenhults play Varbergs GIF in the Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tenhults averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.48 conceded. Varbergs GIF averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.81 conceded. In past meetings, Tenhults won 2, Varbergs GIF won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 18, 2017 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Tenhults and 1.24 for Varbergs GIF. This points to a Varbergs GIF double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Tenhults
15%
Draws
43%
Varbergs GIF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varbergs GIF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Tenhults picked up more points recently compared to Varbergs GIF.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 1.24 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Tenhults Clean Sheet 19%
Varbergs GIF Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tenhults Varbergs GIF
Matches Played 29 43
Wins 7 17
Draws 4 3
Losses 18 23
Goals Scored 1.07 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.48 1.81

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2017 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Varbergs GIF vs Tenhults
2:3
Jun 6, 2017 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Tenhults vs Varbergs GIF
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tenhults 42 / 100
Varbergs GIF 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tenhults Varbergs GIF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Varbergs GIF or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tenhults attacking → ← attacking Varbergs GIF

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tenhults scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Varbergs GIF let in goals in 81% of their last 43 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Tenhults went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Varbergs GIF lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 54
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tvaaker26172749:2453
2Eskilsminne26163762:3551
3Savedalen26156548:2751
4Dalstorps26154743:3349
5Vinbergs26136748:3745
6Hittarp261241049:4040
7Halmia26108859:4238
8Lindome26961156:5633
9Assyriska IK26961142:5133
10Torslanda26941347:4631
11Ullareds IK26741542:6025
12Varbergs GIF26641630:5422
13Tenhults26641627:6622
14Hoganas26631728:5921